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Premiership
Referee: D Robertson
Dundee
T T T U U
3–1
Full-time
Hearts
T S U U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Dundee Hearts
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
0%
17%
Points per game
0,3
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 58%
83%
33%
Average goals
3,8
2,7
Scored
1,2
1,3
Conceded
2,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
-1,5
+0,0
This season — Premiership · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
1,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
100%
0%
Both score Ø 50%
100%
0%
Average goals
4,0
0,0
Scored
2,0
0,0
Conceded
2,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

40% Possession 60%
11 Shots 14
6 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 4
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
2 Corners 10
2 Offside 2
8 Free kicks against 12
3 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Dundee 7. · Hearts 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rangers 2 1 1 0 +1 4
2 Celtic 1 1 0 0 +4 3
3 St Mirren 1 1 0 0 +3 3
4 Aberdeen 1 1 0 0 +1 3
5 Dundee United 2 0 2 0 +0 2
6 Ross County 2 0 2 0 +0 2
7 Dundee 1 0 1 0 +0 1
8 Hearts 1 0 1 0 +0 1
9 Motherwell 2 0 1 1 -1 1
10 ST Johnstone 1 0 0 1 -1 0
11 Hibernian 1 0 0 1 -3 0
12 Kilmarnock 1 0 0 1 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Dundee Hearts
1–0 S. Tiffoney
L. McCowan
23′
26′
🟨 Kye Rowles
Scott Tiffoney 🟨
28′
42′
🟨 Gerald Taylor
Juan Portales 🟨
43′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 M. Boateng
↦ J. Grant
46′
🔁 Y. Dhanda
↦ B. McKay
46′
🔁 Y. Oda
↦ D. Oyegoke
1–1 G. Taylor
own goal
47′
2–1 L. McCowan
50′
Lyall Cameron ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
53′
Ziyad Larkeche 🟨
55′
61′
F. Kent 2–2
M. Boateng
70′
🔁 B. Spittal
↦ C. Devlin
B. Koumetio 🔁
↦ Z. Larkeche
73′
76′
🔁 L. Boyce
↦ K. Vargas
C. Main 🔁
↦ S. Murray
90′
93′
🟨 James Penrice
93′
🟨 Lawrence Shankland
F. Robertson 🔁
↦ S. Tiffoney
97′
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Dundee

4-3-3
1 J. McCracken G
2 E. Ingram D
29 A. Portales D
6 J. McGhee D
21 Z. Larkeche D
10 L. Cameron M
28 M. Sylla M
17 L. McCowan M
23 S. Palmer-Houlden F
15 S. Murray F
7 S. Tiffoney F
Bench (8)
20 B. Koumetio
9 C. Main
19 F. Robertson
55 S. Lochhead
25 L. Graham
4 R. Astley
31 T. Carson
30 H. Sharp

Coach: T. Docherty

Hearts

3-4-2-1
28 Z. Clark G
5 D. Oyegoke D
2 F. Kent D
15 K. Rowles D
82 G. Taylor M
14 C. Devlin M
7 J. Grant M
29 J. Penrice M
10 B. McKay F
77 K. Vargas F
9 L. Shankland F
Bench (9)
18 M. Boateng
20 Y. Dhanda
11 Y. Oda
16 B. Spittal
27 L. Boyce
4 C. Halkett
3 S. Kingsley
17 A. Forrest
1 C. Gordon

Coach: S. Naismith

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
3,11
U
3,57
B
2,18
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,68
U2,5
2,16
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

D Robertson · 152 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.