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Premiership
Referee: G Grainger
Dundee
T U T S U
2–3
Full-time
Hearts
S U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Dundee Hearts
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
33%
83%
Points per game
1,3
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,3
2,8
Scored
1,7
2,0
Conceded
1,7
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+1,2
This season — Premiership · 21/23 matches
Win Ø 43%
29%
57%
Points per game
1,2
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 49%
62%
35%
Both score Ø 44%
52%
35%
Average goals
3,0
2,1
Scored
1,4
1,3
Conceded
1,6
0,9
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

42% Possession 58%
14 Shots 18
8 Shots on target 6
3 Blocked shots 8
3 Goalkeeper saves 5
8 Corners 5
2 Offside 0
7 Free kicks against 6
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Dundee 6. · Hearts 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 24 18 4 2 +39 58
2 Rangers 22 17 1 4 +34 52
3 Hearts 23 13 3 7 +9 42
4 Kilmarnock 23 8 8 7 +1 32
5 St Mirren 23 8 5 10 -5 29
6 Dundee 21 6 8 7 -4 26
7 Hibernian 22 6 8 8 -6 26
8 Aberdeen 22 6 7 9 -9 25
9 ST Johnstone 23 5 9 9 -13 24
10 Motherwell 22 4 9 9 -9 21
11 Ross County 22 4 7 11 -14 19
12 Livingston 23 2 7 14 -23 13

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Dundee Hearts
1–0 J. McGhee
L. McCowan
26′
Amadou Bakayoko 🟨
33′
Malachi Boateng 🟨
43′
Half-time 1–1
55′
A. Forrest 1–1
L. Shankland
2–1 L. Cameron
L. McCowan
59′
60′
🔁 K. Vargas
↦ Y. Oda
60′
🔁 S. Fraser
↦ J. Grant
Z. Robinson 🔁
↦ M. Mellon
66′
72′
🔁 M. Tait
↦ B. Baningime
79′
L. Shankland 2–2
Luke McCowan 🟨
80′
84′
🟨 Alex Cochrane
87′
L. Shankland 2–3
K. Vargas
89′
🔁 C. Halkett
↦ A. Forrest
Full-time 2–3

Line-ups

Dundee

5-3-2
31 T. Carson G
6 J. McGhee D
14 L. Ashcroft D
5 J. Shaughnessy D
3 O. Dodgson D
63 O. Beck D
10 L. Cameron M
23 M. Boateng M
17 L. McCowan M
26 M. Mellon F
9 A. Bakayoko F
Bench (9)
16 Z. Robinson
7 S. Tiffoney
1 A. Legzdiņš
8 C. Main
4 R. Astley
30 H. Sharp
15 J. Mulligan
28 M. Sylla
19 F. Robertson

Coach: T. Docherty

Hearts

4-2-3-1
28 Z. Clark G
81 D. Lembikisa D
21 T. Sibbick D
2 F. Kent D
19 A. Cochrane D
8 C. Nieuwenhof M
6 B. Baningime M
11 Y. Oda M
7 J. Grant M
17 A. Forrest M
9 L. Shankland F
Bench (9)
77 K. Vargas
29 S. Fraser
25 M. Tait
4 C. Halkett
54 J. Wilson
1 C. Gordon
30 K. Tagawa
22 A. Denholm
24 F. Pollock

Coach: S. Naismith

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,10
U
3,47
B ✓
2,21
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,87
U2,5
1,91
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

G Grainger · 14 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,1 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.