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Premiership

Referee: S McLean

Hearts

S T S S S

2–2

Full-time

Celtic

T T S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hearts Celtic

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

83%

50%

Points per game

2,5

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

2,3

3,5

Scored

1,7

2,0

Conceded

0,7

1,5

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Premiership · 22/22 matches

Win Ø 66%

68%

64%

Points per game

2,3

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 55%

50%

59%

Both score Ø 43%

45%

41%

Average goals

2,7

Scored

1,9

1,8

Conceded

0,8

1,0

Goal diff per game

+1,1

+0,8

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

1,94 xG 1,32

55% Possession 45%

16 Shots 9

8 Shots on target 3

4 Blocked shots 3

1 Goalkeeper saves 6

2 Corners 2

3 Offside 1

13 Free kicks against 22

3 Yellow cards 6

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Hearts 1. · Celtic 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Hearts	22	15	5	2	+25	+7.7	50
2	Celtic	22	14	2	6	+18	+10.8	44
3	Rangers	22	12	8	2	+17	+4.6	44
4	Motherwell	23	10	10	3	+18	+8.0	40
5	Hibernian	23	9	8	6	+10	-0.4	35
6	Falkirk	23	9	6	8	-2	+2.7	33
7	Aberdeen	23	8	4	11	-4	-7.3	28
8	Dundee United	22	5	10	7	-6	-7.2	25
9	Dundee	22	6	4	12	-15	-6.0	22
10	St Mirren	22	4	7	11	-14	+2.4	19
11	Kilmarnock	23	2	8	13	-23	-9.0	14
12	Livingston	23	1	8	14	-24	-6.3	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Motherwell	12	8	3	1	+17	+9.6	27
2	Hearts	11	8	3	0	+16	+4.7	27
3	Celtic	11	8	1	2	+17	+9.5	25
4	Rangers	11	6	4	1	+6	+5.6	22
5	Hibernian	11	5	4	2	+10	+2.9	19
6	Falkirk	12	4	5	3	+3	+4.9	17
7	Aberdeen	12	4	4	4	+4	-4.4	16
8	Dundee	11	5	1	5	-2	-1.0	16
9	Dundee United	11	3	4	4	-2	-2.5	13
10	St Mirren	11	3	4	4	-3	+4.8	13
11	Livingston	11	1	4	6	-6	-0.5	7
12	Kilmarnock	11	1	3	7	-11	-3.1	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Hearts	11	7	2	2	+9	+3.0	23
2	Rangers	11	6	4	1	+11	-1.0	22
3	Celtic	11	6	1	4	+1	+1.3	19
4	Hibernian	12	4	4	4	+0	-3.2	16
5	Falkirk	11	5	1	5	-5	-2.2	16
6	Motherwell	11	2	7	2	+1	-1.6	13
7	Dundee United	11	2	6	3	-4	-4.7	12
8	Aberdeen	11	4	0	7	-8	-2.9	12
9	Kilmarnock	12	1	5	6	-12	-5.9	8
10	St Mirren	11	1	3	7	-11	-2.4	6
11	Dundee	11	1	3	7	-13	-4.9	6
12	Livingston	12	0	4	8	-18	-5.8	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.