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Bundesliga

Referee: D Muckenhammer

Admira

U S T T T

1–1

Full-time

Sturm Graz

T S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Admira Sturm Graz

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

17%

67%

Points per game

0,8

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

50%

100%

Both score Ø 75%

50%

100%

Average goals

2,5

4,2

Scored

1,2

2,7

Conceded

1,3

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+1,2

This season — Bundesliga · 5/5 matches

Win Ø 40%

20%

60%

Points per game

0,8

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 80%

60%

100%

Both score Ø 70%

40%

100%

Average goals

2,6

4,2

Scored

1,2

2,6

Conceded

1,4

1,6

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

46% Possession 54%

8 Shots 8

3 Shots on target 5

1 Blocked shots 0

4 Goalkeeper saves 2

7 Corners 2

1 Offside 1

20 Free kicks against 11

3 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Admira 11. · Sturm Graz 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Salzburg	6	6	0	0	+13	18
2	Sturm Graz	5	3	1	1	+5	10
3	Wolfsberger AC	6	2	2	2	-2	8
4	A. Klagenfurt	6	2	2	2	-4	8
5	SK Rapid	5	2	1	2	+3	7
6	Altach	6	2	1	3	-2	7
7	Ried	5	2	1	2	-7	7
8	LASK	5	1	3	1	-1	6
9	Hartberg	6	1	2	3	-1	5
10	Tirol	6	0	5	1	-1	5
11	Admira	5	1	1	3	-1	4
12	Austria Vienna	5	0	3	2	-2	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Salzburg	3	3	0	0	+9	9
2	A. Klagenfurt	3	2	1	0	+2	7
3	SK Rapid	3	2	0	1	+4	6
4	Ried	2	2	0	0	+2	6
5	Wolfsberger AC	3	1	1	1	+0	4
6	Sturm Graz	3	1	1	1	+0	4
7	Admira	2	1	0	1	+3	3
8	Tirol	3	0	3	0	+0	3
9	Altach	3	1	0	2	-1	3
10	Austria Vienna	2	0	2	0	+0	2
11	LASK	3	0	2	1	-2	2
12	Hartberg	3	0	1	2	-2	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Salzburg	3	3	0	0	+4	9
2	Sturm Graz	2	2	0	0	+5	6
3	Hartberg	3	1	1	1	+1	4
4	LASK	2	1	1	0	+1	4
5	Altach	3	1	1	1	-1	4
6	Wolfsberger AC	3	1	1	1	-2	4
7	Tirol	3	0	2	1	-1	2
8	SK Rapid	2	0	1	1	-1	1
9	Austria Vienna	3	0	1	2	-2	1
10	Admira	3	0	1	2	-4	1
11	A. Klagenfurt	3	0	1	2	-6	1
12	Ried	3	0	1	2	-9	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.