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Bundesliga
Referee: J Weinberger
Salzburg
S S S S S
3–1
Full-time
A. Klagenfurt
S U T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Salzburg A. Klagenfurt
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 75%
100%
50%
Points per game
3,0
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
4,2
3,3
Scored
3,5
1,8
Conceded
0,7
1,5
Goal diff per game
+2,8
+0,3
This season — Bundesliga · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 63%
100%
25%
Points per game
3,0
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 63%
50%
75%
Average goals
3,5
3,8
Scored
3,0
1,5
Conceded
0,5
2,3
Goal diff per game
+2,5
-0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

79% Possession 21%
23 Shots 5
6 Shots on target 2
5 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
9 Corners 2
1 Offside 0
9 Free kicks against 13
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Salzburg 1. · A. Klagenfurt 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Salzburg 4 4 0 0 +10 12
2 Sturm Graz 4 3 0 1 +5 9
3 Ried 4 2 1 1 -4 7
4 Altach 4 2 0 2 -1 6
5 LASK 4 1 2 1 -1 5
6 A. Klagenfurt 4 1 2 1 -3 5
7 Admira 4 1 1 2 +2 4
8 Hartberg 4 1 1 2 +0 4
9 SK Rapid 4 1 1 2 +0 4
10 Tirol 4 0 4 0 +0 4
11 Austria Vienna 4 0 2 2 -2 2
12 Wolfsberger AC 4 0 2 2 -6 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Salzburg A. Klagenfurt
1–0 K. Adeyemi
Bernardo
3′
14′
A. Timossi Andersson 1–1
T. Mahrer
18′
🟨 Turgay Gemicibasi
Half-time 1–1
N. Seiwald 🔁
↦ M. Camara
46′
M. Kjærgaard 🔁
↦ A. Bernède
46′
Nicolás Capaldo 🟨
47′
52′
🟨 Thorsten Mahrer
58′
🔁 T. Maciejewski
↦ F. Rieder
B. Šeško 🔁
↦ N. Oka
61′
69′
🟨 Markus Pink
M. Berisha 🔁
↦ K. Adeyemi
70′
2–1 M. Berisha
70′
73′
🟨 Nicolas Wimmer
82′
🔁 F. Markelic
↦ T. Gemicibaşi
A. Ulmer 🔁
↦ N. Capaldo
83′
84′
🔁 P. Hütter
↦ C. Cvetko
3–1 R. Kristensen
K. Piątkowski
84′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Salzburg

4-3-1-2
18 P. Köhn G
95 Bernardo D
43 R. Kristensen D
22 O. Solet D
4 K. Piątkowski D
10 A. Bernède M
77 N. Okafor F
11 B. Aaronson M
19 M. Camara M
7 N. Capaldo M
27 K. Adeyemi F
Bench (7)
13 N. Seiwald
14 M. Kjærgaard
30 B. Šeško
8 M. Berisha
17 A. Ulmer
39 M. Wöber
1 N. Mantl

Coach: M. Jaissle

A. Klagenfurt

4-3-3
13 P. Menzel G
31 T. Mahrer D
5 M. Blauensteiner D
37 N. Wimmer D
81 T. Gemicibaşi M
23 F. Rieder F
14 C. Cvetko M
4 P. Greil M
12 A. Timossi Andersson F
32 M. Pink F
7 F. Jaritz D
Bench (6)
20 T. Maciejewski
92 F. Markelic
44 P. Hütter
1 L. Moser
9 D. Pecirep
63 I. Šaravanja

Coach: P. Pacult

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

J Weinberger · 114 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.