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Bundesliga

Referee: J Spurny

Tirol

T S S S U

2–0

Full-time

Ried

S S U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Tirol Ried

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,7

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

83%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

4,0

2,7

Scored

2,0

1,3

Conceded

2,0

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,0

This season — Bundesliga · 15/15 matches

Win Ø 30%

40%

20%

Points per game

1,4

0,9

Over 2.5 Ø 64%

80%

47%

Both score Ø 60%

73%

47%

Average goals

3,4

2,3

Scored

1,7

0,8

Conceded

1,7

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,1

-0,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

57% Possession 43%

11 Shots 8

5 Shots on target 3

1 Blocked shots 2

3 Goalkeeper saves 3

2 Corners 5

4 Offside 4

5 Free kicks against 7

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Tirol 6. · Ried 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Salzburg	15	11	3	1	+23	36
2	Sturm Graz	15	9	5	1	+15	32
3	LASK	15	7	5	3	+9	26
4	Austria Vienna	15	6	5	4	+1	23
5	SK Rapid	15	6	3	6	+6	21
6	Tirol	15	6	3	6	-1	21
7	A. Klagenfurt	15	6	3	6	-2	21
8	A. Lustenau	15	3	6	6	-8	15
9	Altach	15	4	3	8	-11	15
10	Wolfsberger AC	15	4	2	9	-6	14
11	Ried	15	3	4	8	-10	13
12	Hartberg	15	3	2	10	-16	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sturm Graz	8	6	1	1	+9	19
2	Salzburg	8	5	3	0	+9	18
3	LASK	8	4	2	2	+3	14
4	Austria Vienna	7	3	2	2	+0	11
5	SK Rapid	8	3	1	4	+1	10
6	A. Lustenau	7	2	3	2	-4	9
7	Tirol	7	2	3	2	-5	9
8	Ried	7	2	2	3	-3	8
9	Altach	8	2	2	4	-4	8
10	A. Klagenfurt	7	2	1	4	-4	7
11	Hartberg	7	2	1	4	-7	7
12	Wolfsberger AC	8	1	1	6	-7	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Salzburg	7	6	0	1	+14	18
2	A. Klagenfurt	8	4	2	2	+2	14
3	Sturm Graz	7	3	4	0	+6	13
4	LASK	7	3	3	1	+6	12
5	Tirol	8	4	0	4	+4	12
6	Austria Vienna	8	3	3	2	+1	12
7	SK Rapid	7	3	2	2	+5	11
8	Wolfsberger AC	7	3	1	3	+1	10
9	Altach	7	2	1	4	-7	7
10	A. Lustenau	8	1	3	4	-4	6
11	Ried	8	1	2	5	-7	5
12	Hartberg	8	1	1	6	-9	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.