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Bundesliga
Referee: M Hameter
SK Rapid
S T S S T
2–0
Full-time
Tirol
S S T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

SK Rapid Tirol
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,0
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,8
2,3
Scored
1,7
1,2
Conceded
1,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,0
This season — Bundesliga · 20/20 matches
Win Ø 43%
45%
40%
Points per game
1,5
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 65%
55%
75%
Both score Ø 63%
55%
70%
Average goals
2,8
3,3
Scored
1,6
1,6
Conceded
1,2
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,4
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

58% Possession 42%
21 Shots 3
6 Shots on target 2
7 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
4 Corners 6
2 Offside 0
18 Free kicks against 18
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match SK Rapid 5. · Tirol 6. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Salzburg 20 16 3 1 +34 51
2 Sturm Graz 20 12 6 2 +18 42
3 LASK 20 10 7 3 +12 37
4 Austria Vienna 20 9 5 6 +6 32
5 SK Rapid 20 9 3 8 +8 30
6 Tirol 20 8 4 8 -1 28
7 A. Klagenfurt 20 8 3 9 -4 27
8 A. Lustenau 20 5 6 9 -11 21
9 Wolfsberger AC 20 6 2 12 -5 20
10 Hartberg 20 5 2 13 -19 17
11 Altach 20 4 4 12 -21 16
12 Ried 20 3 5 12 -17 14

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

SK Rapid Tirol
34′
🟨 Alexander Ranacher
Guido Burgstaller 🟨
39′
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 T. Sabitzer
↦ A. Ranacher
Bernhard Zimmermann 🟨
59′
O. Strunz 🔁
↦ B. Zimmermann
62′
Roman Kerschbaum 🟨
64′
65′
🔁 T. Prica
↦ S. Ogrinec
1–0 O. Strunz ⚽
M. Grüll
74′
76′
🟨 Lukas Sulzbacher
M. Oswald 🔁
↦ D. Petrovič
76′
A. Bajić 🔁
↦ M. Grüll
76′
80′
🔁 L. Rinaldi
↦ J. Ertlthaler
2–0 G. Burgstaller ⚽
M. Oswald
86′
89′
🔁 C. Üstündag
↦ V. Müller
89′
🔁 J. Naschberger
↦ L. Sulzbacher
T. Schick 🔁
↦ D. Kasius
91′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

SK Rapid

4-2-3-1
45 N. Hedl G
2 D. Kasius D
43 L. Querfeld D
19 M. Sollbauer D
26 M. Moormann D
16 D. Petrovič M
5 R. Kerschbaum M
41 B. Zimmermann M
24 P. Greil M
27 M. Grüll M
9 G. Burgstaller F
Bench (7)
18 O. Strunz
28 M. Oswald
29 A. Bajić
13 T. Schick
17 C. Dibon
6 K. Wimmer
21 B. Unger

Coach: Z. Barišić

Tirol

4-2-3-1
25 F. Oswald G
14 A. Ranacher D
30 R. Behounek D
26 D. Štumberger D
44 K. Schulz D
6 L. Sulzbacher M
4 V. Müller M
21 Ž. Rogelj M
98 S. Ogrinec M
77 J. Ertlthaler M
19 J. Forst F
Bench (7)
7 T. Sabitzer
33 T. Prica
11 L. Rinaldi
20 C. Üstündag
17 J. Naschberger
13 B. Ozegovic
8 K. Bauernfeind

Coach: T. Silberberger

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
–
U
–
B
–
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
U2,5 ✓
–
U3,5 ✓
–
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
BLS nei ✓
–

Referee

M Hameter · 86 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
27,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,30 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.