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Bundesliga

Referee: C Jäeger

SK Rapid

U S T U T

1–2

Full-time

Sturm Graz

T U T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

SK Rapid Sturm Graz

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

0,8

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

2,2

2,3

Scored

1,0

1,3

Conceded

1,2

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,3

This season — Bundesliga · 4/5 matches

Win Ø 45%

50%

40%

Points per game

1,8

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

25%

40%

Both score Ø 55%

50%

60%

Average goals

1,8

2,4

Scored

1,0

1,6

Conceded

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+0,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

53% Possession 47%

6 Shots 9

3 Shots on target 2

2 Blocked shots 2

0 Goalkeeper saves 2

8 Corners 3

3 Offside 3

16 Free kicks against 18

5 Yellow cards 2

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match SK Rapid 5. · Sturm Graz 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	LASK	6	5	1	0	+11	16
2	Salzburg	6	5	0	1	+13	15
3	A. Lustenau	6	3	1	2	-2	10
4	Sturm Graz	5	2	2	1	+4	8
5	SK Rapid	4	2	1	1	+1	7
6	Tirol	5	2	1	2	+0	7
7	Austria Vienna	5	2	1	2	-2	7
8	Hartberg	5	2	0	3	-3	6
9	A. Klagenfurt	5	1	1	3	-4	4
10	Ried	6	1	1	4	-4	4
11	Altach	6	1	1	4	-8	4
12	Wolfsberger AC	5	0	2	3	-6	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	LASK	3	3	0	0	+6	9
2	Salzburg	3	3	0	0	+6	9
3	Sturm Graz	3	2	0	1	+4	6
4	Hartberg	3	2	0	1	+1	6
5	A. Lustenau	3	2	0	1	-2	6
6	Tirol	2	1	1	0	+1	4
7	Austria Vienna	2	1	1	0	+1	4
8	SK Rapid	2	1	1	0	+1	4
9	Altach	3	1	1	1	+0	4
10	Ried	3	1	1	1	+0	4
11	A. Klagenfurt	2	1	0	1	+0	3
12	Wolfsberger AC	3	0	1	2	-5	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	LASK	3	2	1	0	+5	7
2	Salzburg	3	2	0	1	+7	6
3	A. Lustenau	3	1	1	1	+0	4
4	SK Rapid	2	1	0	1	+0	3
5	Tirol	3	1	0	2	-1	3
6	Austria Vienna	3	1	0	2	-3	3
7	Sturm Graz	2	0	2	0	+0	2
8	Wolfsberger AC	2	0	1	1	-1	1
9	A. Klagenfurt	3	0	1	2	-4	1
10	Hartberg	2	0	0	2	-4	0
11	Ried	3	0	0	3	-4	0
12	Altach	3	0	0	3	-8	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.