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Bundesliga
Referee: M Hameter
Grazer AK
T T S U T
1–2
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Grazer AK Austria Vienna
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,2
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,7
2,7
Scored
1,5
1,8
Conceded
2,2
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+1,0
This season — Bundesliga · 19/19 matches
Win Ø 37%
16%
58%
Points per game
0,8
1,9
Over 2.5 Ø 61%
63%
58%
Both score Ø 66%
74%
58%
Average goals
3,3
2,5
Scored
1,3
1,6
Conceded
2,0
0,9
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,6
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

36% Possession 64%
10 Shots 9
3 Shots on target 4
3 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 3
0 Offside 2
21 Free kicks against 9
5 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Grazer AK 11. · Austria Vienna 2. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sturm Graz 19 12 4 3 +22 40
2 Austria Vienna 19 11 4 4 +12 37
3 Wolfsberger AC 19 10 3 6 +13 33
4 Salzburg 19 8 7 4 +8 31
5 SK Rapid 19 7 7 5 +1 28
6 LASK 19 7 4 8 -1 25
7 BW Linz 19 7 3 9 -4 24
8 Hartberg 19 5 8 6 -2 23
9 A. Klagenfurt 19 5 5 9 -19 20
10 Tirol 19 4 7 8 -7 19
11 Grazer AK 19 3 7 9 -13 16
12 Altach 19 3 5 11 -10 14

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Grazer AK Austria Vienna
18′
ℹ️ Abubakr Barry
VAR: Goal cancelled
Christian Lichtenberger 🟨
19′
Half-time 0–0
Murat Satin 🟨
47′
Lukas Graf 🟨
48′
53′
ℹ️ Reinhold Ranftl
VAR: Penalty cancelled
56′
⚽ D. Fitz 0–1
62′
⚽ M. Malone 0–2
L. Kleinheisler 🔁
↦ M. Perchtold
68′
68′
🔁 A. Gruber
↦ A. Barry
68′
🔁 H. Guenouche
↦ M. Vinlöf
73′
🟨 Hakim Guenouche
Benjamin Rosenberger 🟨
74′
T. Cipot 🔁
↦ C. Lichtenberger
75′
81′
🔁 M. Potzmann
↦ M. Malone
81′
🔁 M. Raguž
↦ N. Prelec
T. Revelant 🔁
↦ P. Filipović
84′
M. Gantschnig 🔁
↦ A. Tikvić
84′
88′
🔁 M. Wels
↦ M. Fischer
1–2 T. Cipot ⚽
L. Kleinheisler
91′
László Kleinheisler 🟨
92′
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Grazer AK

4-4-2
1 J. Meierhofer G
15 L. Graf D
5 P. Filipović D
3 A. Tikvić D
27 B. Rosenberger D
10 C. Lichtenberger M
6 S. Fofana M
13 M. Perchtold M
17 T. Schiestl M
28 D. Frieser F
7 M. Şatin F
Bench (7)
8 L. Kleinheisler
11 T. Cipot
24 T. Revelant
19 M. Gantschnig
4 M. Kreuzriegler
26 C. Nicht
32 S. Salihovic

Coach: R. Poms

Austria Vienna

3-5-2
1 S. Şahin-Radlinger G
46 J. Handl D
24 T. Plavotić D
3 Lucas Galvão D
26 R. Ranftl M
36 D. Fitz M
30 M. Fischer M
5 A. Barry M
18 M. Vinlöf M
11 N. Prelec F
77 M. Malone F
Bench (7)
17 A. Gruber
21 H. Guenouche
19 M. Potzmann
29 M. Raguž
37 M. Wels
28 P. Wiesinger
13 L. Wedl

Coach: S. Helm

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
–
U
–
B ✓
–
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
O2,5 ✓
–
U3,5 ✓
–
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
BLS nei
–

Referee

M Hameter · 86 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
27,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,30 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.