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Bundesliga
Referee: F Brych
Werder Bremen
S T T T T
1–2
Full-time
Wolfsburg
U U S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Werder Bremen Wolfsburg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,7
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
83%
33%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,3
2,0
Scored
0,8
1,0
Conceded
2,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
-1,7
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Bundesliga · 23/23 matches
Win Ø 37%
35%
39%
Points per game
1,3
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 68%
70%
65%
Both score Ø 68%
57%
78%
Average goals
3,6
3,6
Scored
1,5
2,0
Conceded
2,0
1,6
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,4
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

1,66 xG 0,69
56% Possession 44%
15 Shots 9
7 Shots on target 3
6 Blocked shots 4
1 Goalkeeper saves 6
8 Corners 2
1 Offside 3
13 Free kicks against 9
2 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Werder Bremen 12. · Wolfsburg 8.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 24 19 4 1 +52 +42.8 61
2 Leverkusen 23 14 8 1 +24 +20.9 50
3 Ein Frankfurt 23 12 6 5 +16 +7.7 42
4 Freiburg 23 12 3 8 -2 +0.8 39
5 Mainz 23 11 5 7 +13 +1.4 38
6 RB Leipzig 23 10 8 5 +7 -5.1 38
7 Stuttgart 24 10 6 8 +5 +8.7 36
8 Wolfsburg 23 9 7 7 +9 -1.2 34
9 M'gladbach 23 10 4 9 +0 -5.3 34
10 Dortmund 23 9 5 9 +5 +9.3 32
11 Augsburg 23 8 7 8 -8 -8.1 31
12 Werder Bremen 23 8 6 9 -12 -3.0 30
13 Union Berlin 23 6 6 11 -14 -6.3 24
14 Hoffenheim 23 5 7 11 -16 -12.2 22
15 St Pauli 23 6 3 14 -9 -6.8 21
16 Heidenheim 23 4 3 16 -20 -10.4 15
17 Bochum 23 3 6 14 -25 -17.1 15
18 Holstein Kiel 23 3 4 16 -25 -16.2 13

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Werder Bremen Wolfsburg
6′
P. Wimmer 0–1
A. Skov Olsen
Half-time 0–1
A. Jung 🔁
↦ N. Stark
46′
48′
P. Wimmer 0–2
M. Amoura
65′
🔁 Y. Gerhardt
↦ B. Dárdai
65′
🔁 Tiago Tomás
↦ M. Amoura
Oliver Burke 🟨
70′
I. Kaboré 🔁
↦ L. Bittencourt
72′
K. Topp 🔁
↦ André Silva
72′
D. Köhn 🔁
↦ F. Agu
72′
73′
🔁 A. Vranckx
↦ P. Wimmer
89′
🔁 K. Fischer
↦ A. Skov Olsen
89′
🔁 K. Behrens
↦ J. Wind
1–2 M. Weiser
J. Stage
90′
Miloš Veljković 🟨
91′
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Werder Bremen

3-5-2
1 M. Zetterer G
5 A. Pieper D
4 N. Stark D
13 M. Veljković D
8 M. Weiser M
6 J. Stage M
14 S. Lynen M
10 L. Bittencourt M
27 F. Agu M
15 O. Burke F
9 André Silva F
Bench (9)
3 A. Jung
29 I. Kaboré
42 K. Topp
19 D. Köhn
22 J. Malatini
30 M. Backhaus
41 K. Coulibaly
45 M. Łukowicz
48 W. Adeh

Coach: O. Werner

Wolfsburg

4-4-2
29 M. Müller G
5 M. Roerslev D
18 D. Vavro D
4 K. Koulierakis D
21 J. Mæhle D
7 A. Skov Olsen M
24 B. Dárdai M
32 M. Svanberg M
39 P. Wimmer M
23 J. Wind F
9 M. Amoura F
Bench (9)
31 Y. Gerhardt
11 Tiago Tomás
6 A. Vranckx
2 K. Fischer
17 K. Behrens
12 P. Pervan
33 D. Odogu
38 B. Bröger
16 J. Kamiński

Coach: R. Hasenhüttl

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,65
U
3,53
B ✓
2,59
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,68
U2,5
2,20
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

F Brych · 113 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.