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Super League
Referee: L Tschudi
Lausanne
T U S U U
0–1
Full-time
Servette
U U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lausanne Servette
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
1,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 92%
100%
83%
Average goals
3,8
3,0
Scored
2,0
1,8
Conceded
1,8
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Super League · 25/25 matches
Win Ø 42%
40%
44%
Points per game
1,5
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 62%
60%
64%
Both score Ø 64%
56%
72%
Average goals
3,0
3,0
Scored
1,7
1,6
Conceded
1,3
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,4
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

0,69 xG 1,87
65% Possession 35%
12 Shots 13
4 Shots on target 4
3 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
6 Corners 2
1 Offside 1
8 Free kicks against 15
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Lausanne 5. · Servette 4.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Basel 26 13 6 7 +27 +16.8 45
2 Lugano 25 12 6 7 +8 +6.2 42
3 Luzern 25 12 6 7 +6 +4.6 42
4 Servette 25 11 9 5 +6 +1.9 42
5 Lausanne 25 10 7 8 +10 +10.8 37
6 Young Boys 25 10 7 8 +6 +7.9 37
7 St. Gallen 26 9 9 8 +2 -6.7 36
8 Zurich 25 10 6 9 -2 -5.1 36
9 Sion 26 8 6 12 -7 +2.7 30
10 Yverdon 25 6 6 13 -18 -15.2 24
11 Grasshoppers 25 4 11 10 -10 -6.8 23
12 Winterthur 26 5 5 16 -28 -17.0 20

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Lausanne Servette
12′
ℹ️ Keyan Varela
VAR: Penalty confirmed
14′
M. Stevanović 0–1
43′
🟨 Bradley Mazikou
Half-time 0–1
46′
🔁 E. Crivelli
↦ A. Ndoye
46′
🔁 T. Ouattara
↦ Keyan Varela
Fousseni Diabaté 🟨
48′
66′
🔁 A. Antunes
↦ D. Kutesa
F. Oviedo 🔁
↦ A. Ajdini
75′
A. Balde 🔁
↦ T. Okou
75′
83′
🟨 Timothé Cognat
K. Sène 🔁
↦ K. Koindredi
84′
94′
🟨 Tiemoko Ouattara
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Lausanne

4-3-3
1 T. Castella G
19 M. Senaya D
71 K. Sow D
6 N. Dussenne D
18 M. Poaty D
5 K. Koindredi M
8 J. Roche M
80 A. Sanches M
92 T. Okou F
7 A. Ajdini F
11 F. Diabaté F
Bench (9)
39 F. Oviedo
70 A. Balde
9 K. Sène
94 T. Hottiger
27 B. Lekoueiry
10 O. Custodio
14 K. Mouanga
93 S. Fofana
34 R. Giger

Coach: L. Magnin

Servette

4-2-3-1
1 J. Mall G
3 K. Tsunemoto D
25 K. Adams D
4 S. Rouiller D
18 B. Mazikou D
8 T. Cognat M
20 T. Magnin M
9 M. Stevanović M
17 D. Kutesa M
36 Keyan Varela M
24 A. Ndoye F
Bench (9)
27 E. Crivelli
31 T. Ouattara
10 A. Antunes
7 V. Beniangba
21 J. Guillemenot
32 J. Frick
19 Y. Severin
29 J. Nonge
6 A. Baron

Coach: T. Häberli

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

L Tschudi · 74 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
25,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.