Bundesliga
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Bochum
Hoffenheim
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | xG +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Bayern Munich
|
24 | 19 | 4 | 1 | +52 | +42.8 | 61 |
| 2 |
Leverkusen
|
23 | 14 | 8 | 1 | +24 | +20.9 | 50 |
| 3 |
Ein Frankfurt
|
23 | 12 | 6 | 5 | +16 | +7.7 | 42 |
| 4 |
Freiburg
|
23 | 12 | 3 | 8 | -2 | +0.8 | 39 |
| 5 |
Mainz
|
23 | 11 | 5 | 7 | +13 | +1.4 | 38 |
| 6 |
RB Leipzig
|
23 | 10 | 8 | 5 | +7 | -5.1 | 38 |
| 7 |
Stuttgart
|
24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | +5 | +8.7 | 36 |
| 8 |
Wolfsburg
|
23 | 9 | 7 | 7 | +9 | -1.2 | 34 |
| 9 |
M'gladbach
|
23 | 10 | 4 | 9 | +0 | -5.3 | 34 |
| 10 |
Dortmund
|
23 | 9 | 5 | 9 | +5 | +9.3 | 32 |
| 11 |
Augsburg
|
23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | -8 | -8.1 | 31 |
| 12 |
Werder Bremen
|
23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | -12 | -3.0 | 30 |
| 13 |
Union Berlin
|
23 | 6 | 6 | 11 | -14 | -6.3 | 24 |
| 14 |
Hoffenheim
|
23 | 5 | 7 | 11 | -16 | -12.2 | 22 |
| 15 |
St Pauli
|
23 | 6 | 3 | 14 | -9 | -6.8 | 21 |
| 16 |
Heidenheim
|
23 | 4 | 3 | 16 | -20 | -10.4 | 15 |
| 17 |
Bochum
|
23 | 3 | 6 | 14 | -25 | -17.1 | 15 |
| 18 |
Holstein Kiel
|
23 | 3 | 4 | 16 | -25 | -16.2 | 13 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
T. Horn
G
T. Oermann
D
J. Medić
D
Bernardo
D
F. Passlack
M
I. Sissoko
M
T. Krauß
M
M. Wittek
M
P. Hofmann
F
Coach: D. Hecking
O. Baumann
G
L. Østigård
D
A. Prass
D
A. Stach
M
F. Becker
M
T. Bischof
M
A. Kramarić
M
M. Moerstedt
M
G. Orban
F
Coach: C. Ilzer
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Wolfsburg
Bochum
Bochum
Dortmund
Holstein Kiel
Bochum
Bochum
Freiburg
M'gladbach
Bochum
F Badstübner · 96 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.