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2. Bundesliga
Referee: T Bauer
Nurnberg
T S S S U
1–2
Full-time
Hannover
U U U U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nurnberg Hannover
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
67%
17%
Points per game
2,2
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,8
2,2
Scored
1,7
1,2
Conceded
1,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,2
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 23/23 matches
Win Ø 41%
43%
39%
Points per game
1,5
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 52%
61%
43%
Both score Ø 55%
61%
48%
Average goals
3,4
2,3
Scored
1,8
1,3
Conceded
1,6
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

56% Possession 44%
9 Shots 12
1 Shots on target 5
2 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 0
4 Corners 2
1 Offside 2
13 Free kicks against 26
2 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Nurnberg 9. · Hannover 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Hamburg 23 11 9 3 +22 42
2 FC Koln 23 12 5 6 +8 41
3 Kaiserslautern 23 11 6 6 +5 39
4 Magdeburg 23 10 8 5 +12 38
5 Paderborn 23 10 8 5 +8 38
6 Fortuna Dusseldorf 24 10 8 6 +7 38
7 Elversberg 23 10 6 7 +10 36
8 Hannover 23 9 8 6 +6 35
9 Nurnberg 23 10 5 8 +4 35
10 Karlsruhe 23 9 6 8 +0 33
11 Greuther Furth 24 9 5 10 -8 32
12 Schalke 04 24 8 6 10 -3 30
13 Darmstadt 23 7 7 9 +3 28
14 Hertha 23 7 5 11 -4 26
15 Preußen Münster 24 5 8 11 -7 23
16 Braunschweig 23 5 6 12 -21 21
17 Ulm 23 3 9 11 -6 18
18 Regensburg 23 4 3 16 -36 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Nurnberg Hannover
Christian Mathenia 🟨
-5′
1–0 S. Tzimas
36′
42′
E. Leopold 1–1
Half-time 1–2
57′
J. Knight 1–2
59′
🟨 Fabian Kunze
60′
🟨 Ron-Robert Zieler
Julian Justvan ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
61′
62′
🔁 M. Momuluh
↦ S. Muroya
63′
🔁 L. Gindorf
↦ J. Rochelt
R. Lubach 🔁
↦ J. Castrop
67′
69′
🟨 Enzo Leopold
72′
🔁 N. Tresoldi
↦ J. Ngankam
Tim Janisch 🟨
77′
M. Emreli 🔁
↦ R. Knoche
77′
82′
🔁 A. Voglsammer
↦ H. Nielsen
84′
🟨 Monju Momuluh
87′
🟨 Lars Gindorf
L. Schleimer 🔁
↦ J. Antiste
88′
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Nurnberg

3-4-2-1
1 J. Reichert G
5 T. Drexler D
31 R. Knoche D
44 O. Karafiát D
32 T. Janisch M
20 C. Jander M
17 J. Castrop M
21 B. Yılmaz M
10 J. Justvan F
28 J. Antiste F
9 S. Tzimas F
Bench (9)
18 R. Lubach
30 M. Emreli
36 L. Schleimer
26 C. Mathenia
3 Danilo Soares
2 O. Villadsen
33 N. Seidel
6 F. Flick
4 F. Gruber

Coach: M. Klose

Hannover

3-5-2
1 R. Zieler G
2 J. Knight D
23 M. Halstenberg D
5 P. Neumann D
21 S. Muroya M
8 E. Leopold M
6 F. Kunze M
10 J. Rochelt M
17 B. Wdowik M
7 J. Ngankam F
16 H. Nielsen F
Bench (9)
38 M. Momuluh
25 L. Gindorf
9 N. Tresoldi
32 A. Voglsammer
15 N. Aséko Nkili
29 K. Oudenne
30 L. Weinkauf
4 K. Schmidt
11 Lee Hyun-Ju

Coach: A. Breitenreiter

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,57
U
3,36
B ✓
2,63
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,77
U2,5
2,03
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

T Bauer · 39 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.