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Bundesliga
Referee: I Simsek
Altach
U T S U T
0–2
Full-time
Sturm Graz
T S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Altach Sturm Graz
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
17%
67%
Points per game
1,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 17%
0%
33%
Both score Ø 25%
33%
17%
Average goals
1,2
2,0
Scored
0,5
1,3
Conceded
0,7
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Bundesliga · 8/7 matches
Win Ø 55%
38%
71%
Points per game
1,5
2,1
Over 2.5 Ø 22%
0%
43%
Both score Ø 27%
25%
29%
Average goals
1,3
2,3
Scored
0,8
1,7
Conceded
0,5
0,6
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+1,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

43% Possession 57%
7 Shots 12
2 Shots on target 4
3 Blocked shots 4
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
3 Corners 4
2 Offside 4
8 Free kicks against 12
3 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Altach 6. · Sturm Graz 3.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Wolfsberger AC 9 5 2 2 +7 +0.1 17
2 SK Rapid 8 5 2 1 +5 +0.8 17
3 Sturm Graz 7 5 0 2 +8 +2.9 15
4 Salzburg 8 4 2 2 +6 +4.2 14
5 Austria Vienna 9 4 1 4 -1 +0.0 13
6 Altach 8 3 3 2 +2 +1.1 12
7 Ried 9 3 2 4 +0 -2.4 11
8 Hartberg 8 3 1 4 +0 -0.4 10
9 BW Linz 9 3 1 5 -4 -2.2 10
10 Tirol 8 2 3 3 -2 +3.9 9
11 LASK 8 2 0 6 -8 -5.0 6
12 Grazer AK 9 0 5 4 -13 -3.0 5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Altach Sturm Graz
Lukas Jäger 🟨
4′
28′
🟨 Dimitri Lavalėe
Half-time 0–0
61′
🔁 J. Mitchell
↦ T. Oermann
61′
🔁 L. Grgic
↦ S. Jatta
63′
🟨 Emanuel Aiwu
72′
🔁 J. Beck
↦ J. Hodl
72′
🔁 B. Beganovic
↦ M. Malone
S. Hrstic 🔁
↦ S. Mustapha
73′
Ousmane Diawara 🟨
75′
E. Yalcin 🔁
↦ P. Greil
76′
Sandro Ingolitsch 🟨
79′
85′
O. Kiteishvili 0–1
86′
🟨 Jeyland Mitchell
88′
🟨 Julius Beck
L. Gugganig 🔁
↦ L. Lukacevic
90′
M. Oswald 🔁
↦ L. Jager
90′
90′
B. Beganovic 0–2
L. Grgic
91′
🔁 S. Hierlander
↦ O. Kiteishvili
93′
🟨 Oliver Christensen
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Altach

4-4-2
1 D. Stojanovic G
25 S. Ingolitsch D
23 B. Zech D
15 P. Koller D
12 L. Lukacevic D
8 M. Bahre M
17 L. Jager M
28 Y. Massombo M
18 P. Greil M
10 O. Diawara F
9 S. Mustapha F
Bench (9)
33 P. Piffer
5 L. Gugganig
7 L. Kronberger
11 S. Hrstic
14 M. Oswald
20 A. Gorgon
26 E. Yalcin
27 F. Milojevic
40 A. Fetahu

Coach: Ognjen Zaric

Sturm Graz

4-3-1-2
1 O. Christensen G
5 T. Oermann D
47 E. Aiwu D
24 D. Lavalee D
17 E. Karic D
19 T. Horvat M
4 J. Gorenc Stankovic M
43 J. Hodl M
10 O. Kiteishvili M
77 M. Malone F
20 S. Jatta F
Bench (9)
2 J. Mitchell
14 K. Bendra
22 J. Beck
25 S. Hierlander
26 B. Beganovic
35 N. Geyrhofer
38 L. Grgic
39 L. Weinhandl
40 M. Bignetti

Coach: Fabio Ingolitsch

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

I Simsek · 18 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
19,9 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,33 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.