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Bundesliga

Referee: M Hameter

Sturm Graz

T S T S S

0–1

Full-time

Austria Vienna

T U T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sturm Graz Austria Vienna

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

67%

17%

Points per game

2,0

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

83%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

3,3

3,2

Scored

1,8

1,2

Conceded

1,5

2,0

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-0,8

This season — Bundesliga · 4/5 matches

Win Ø 48%

75%

20%

Points per game

2,3

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 68%

75%

60%

Both score Ø 55%

50%

60%

Average goals

3,0

2,8

Scored

2,3

1,0

Conceded

0,8

1,8

Goal diff per game

+1,5

-0,8

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

69% Possession 31%

11 Shots 9

2 Shots on target 3

3 Blocked shots 3

2 Goalkeeper saves 2

7 Corners 0

1 Offside 3

20 Free kicks against 15

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sturm Graz 5. · Austria Vienna 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	SK Rapid	6	5	1	0	+7	+0.8	16
2	Salzburg	6	3	2	1	+7	+4.2	11
3	Altach	6	3	2	1	+3	+1.1	11
4	Wolfsberger AC	6	3	1	2	+4	+0.1	10
5	Sturm Graz	4	3	0	1	+6	+2.9	9
6	Hartberg	6	3	0	3	+1	-0.4	9
7	Tirol	5	2	2	1	+1	+3.9	8
8	Ried	6	2	1	3	-1	-2.4	7
9	Austria Vienna	5	1	1	3	-4	+0.0	4
10	BW Linz	6	1	1	4	-4	-2.2	4
11	LASK	6	1	0	5	-9	-5.0	3
12	Grazer AK	6	0	3	3	-11	-3.0	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Salzburg	3	2	1	0	+8	+2.7	7
2	Tirol	3	2	1	0	+4	+3.9	7
3	SK Rapid	3	2	1	0	+4	+0.8	7
4	Altach	3	2	1	0	+2	+0.9	7
5	Wolfsberger AC	4	2	0	2	+2	-0.1	6
6	BW Linz	3	1	0	2	+0	-1.3	3
7	LASK	3	1	0	2	-3	-2.9	3
8	Austria Vienna	3	1	0	2	-3	-0.2	3
9	Grazer AK	3	0	2	1	-3	-0.2	2
10	Ried	3	0	1	2	-4	-1.5	1
11	Sturm Graz	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.0	0
12	Hartberg	2	0	0	2	-2	–	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Sturm Graz	3	3	0	0	+7	+2.9	9
2	Hartberg	4	3	0	1	+3	-0.4	9
3	SK Rapid	3	3	0	0	+3	-0.0	9
4	Ried	3	2	0	1	+3	-0.9	6
5	Wolfsberger AC	2	1	1	0	+2	+0.2	4
6	Altach	3	1	1	1	+1	+0.1	4
7	Salzburg	3	1	1	1	-1	+1.5	4
8	Austria Vienna	2	0	1	1	-1	+0.2	1
9	Tirol	2	0	1	1	-3	–	1
10	BW Linz	3	0	1	2	-4	-0.8	1
11	Grazer AK	3	0	1	2	-8	-2.7	1
12	LASK	3	0	0	3	-6	-2.2	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.