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Superligaen

Referee: J Hansen

Aarhus

S S S S S

3–1

Full-time

Silkeborg

S S S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aarhus Silkeborg

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 75%

100%

50%

Points per game

3,0

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

2,7

3,5

Scored

2,0

2,2

Conceded

0,7

1,3

Goal diff per game

+1,3

+0,8

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Superligaen · 10/10 matches

Win Ø 50%

70%

30%

Points per game

2,3

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 60%

60%

Both score Ø 65%

70%

60%

Average goals

2,9

3,6

Scored

2,0

1,5

Conceded

0,9

2,1

Goal diff per game

+1,1

-0,6

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

4,10 xG 0,60

56% Possession 44%

22 Shots 6

10 Shots on target 2

2 Blocked shots 2

1 Goalkeeper saves 7

4 Corners 2

5 Offside 1

9 Free kicks against 8

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Aarhus 1. · Silkeborg 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Aarhus	10	7	2	1	+11	+6.6	23
2	Midtjylland	10	6	3	1	+12	+1.0	21
3	FC Copenhagen	10	6	2	2	+10	+8.2	20
4	Brondby	10	6	0	4	+5	+6.7	18
5	Randers FC	11	5	1	5	-2	+0.3	16
6	Nordsjaelland	11	5	0	6	-3	-2.0	15
7	Sonderjyske	11	3	3	5	-3	-5.2	12
8	Viborg	11	4	0	7	-4	-1.8	12
9	Odense	11	3	3	5	-10	+1.3	12
10	Fredericia	10	3	2	5	-4	-6.0	11
11	Silkeborg	10	3	2	5	-6	-2.7	11
12	Vejle	11	1	4	6	-6	-6.3	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Midtjylland	6	4	2	0	+9	+3.4	14
2	Brondby	6	4	0	2	+5	+4.6	12
3	Aarhus	5	3	1	1	+4	+6.7	10
4	Odense	6	3	1	2	-1	+2.9	10
5	Randers FC	5	3	0	2	-1	-2.0	9
6	Sonderjyske	5	2	1	2	+1	-3.9	7
7	Silkeborg	5	2	1	2	-1	+2.2	7
8	Fredericia	5	2	1	2	-1	-1.0	7
9	Viborg	5	2	0	3	-1	-1.5	6
10	Nordsjaelland	5	2	0	3	-2	+0.3	6
11	FC Copenhagen	4	1	2	1	+1	+5.3	5
12	Vejle	6	1	2	3	-2	-3.0	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	FC Copenhagen	6	5	0	1	+9	+2.9	15
2	Aarhus	5	4	1	0	+7	-0.1	13
3	Nordsjaelland	6	3	0	3	-1	-2.3	9
4	Midtjylland	4	2	1	1	+3	-2.4	7
5	Randers FC	6	2	1	3	-1	+2.2	7
6	Brondby	4	2	0	2	+0	+2.1	6
7	Viborg	6	2	0	4	-3	-0.3	6
8	Sonderjyske	6	1	2	3	-4	-1.3	5
9	Fredericia	5	1	1	3	-3	-5.0	4
10	Silkeborg	5	1	1	3	-5	-4.8	4
11	Vejle	5	0	2	3	-4	-3.3	2
12	Odense	5	0	2	3	-9	-1.6	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.