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Ligue 1

Referee: Willy Delajod

Monaco

S T S T U

2–2

Full-time

Nice

S T T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Monaco Nice

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

1,7

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 84%

100%

67%

Both score Ø 92%

100%

83%

Average goals

4,7

3,0

Scored

2,3

1,0

Conceded

2,3

2,0

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-1,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Ligue 1 · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,0

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

83%

50%

Both score Ø 75%

83%

67%

Average goals

4,0

2,8

Scored

2,3

1,2

Conceded

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,7

-0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

2,98 xG 1,15

66% Possession 34%

20 Shots 9

6 Shots on target 2

4 Blocked shots 5

0 Goalkeeper saves 4

6 Corners 7

4 Offside 2

10 Free kicks against 9

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Monaco 5. · Nice 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Marseille	7	5	0	2	+10	+5.5	15
2	Paris SG	6	5	0	1	+8	+3.8	15
3	Lyon	7	5	0	2	+4	+3.7	15
4	Lens	7	4	1	2	+4	+2.3	13
5	Monaco	6	4	0	2	+4	+0.8	12
6	Strasbourg	6	4	0	2	+2	+2.2	12
7	Lille	6	3	1	2	+4	+4.0	10
8	Paris FC	7	3	1	3	-1	-1.3	10
9	Toulouse	7	3	1	3	-1	+0.6	10
10	Rennes	6	2	3	1	-1	-3.1	9
11	Brest	7	2	2	3	+0	+0.3	8
12	Nice	6	2	1	3	-3	-0.9	7
13	Lorient	7	2	1	4	-7	-1.5	7
14	Nantes	7	1	3	3	-2	-5.1	6
15	Auxerre	7	2	0	5	-5	-2.2	6
16	Le Havre	6	1	2	3	-2	+1.9	5
17	Angers	6	1	2	3	-3	-2.9	5
18	Metz	7	0	2	5	-11	-8.1	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Marseille	3	3	0	0	+8	+4.3	9
2	Monaco	3	3	0	0	+6	+2.8	9
3	Paris SG	3	3	0	0	+5	+2.6	9
4	Lyon	4	3	0	1	+4	+5.1	9
5	Rennes	3	2	1	0	+3	+0.4	7
6	Nice	4	2	1	1	+2	+0.7	7
7	Lens	3	2	0	1	+4	+4.5	6
8	Paris FC	3	2	0	1	+2	+0.6	6
9	Lille	3	2	0	1	+1	+4.0	6
10	Strasbourg	3	2	0	1	+1	+1.4	6
11	Lorient	3	2	0	1	+0	+2.0	6
12	Auxerre	4	2	0	2	+0	-1.0	6
13	Brest	4	1	2	1	+2	+2.5	5
14	Le Havre	3	1	1	1	+1	+4.0	4
15	Nantes	3	1	1	1	+0	-0.8	4
16	Toulouse	3	1	1	1	-1	+0.5	4
17	Angers	3	1	1	1	-1	-1.3	4
18	Metz	4	0	2	2	-4	-3.2	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Lens	4	2	1	1	+0	-2.2	7
2	Paris SG	3	2	0	1	+3	+1.2	6
3	Marseille	4	2	0	2	+2	+1.2	6
4	Strasbourg	3	2	0	1	+1	+0.8	6
5	Toulouse	4	2	0	2	+0	+0.0	6
6	Lyon	3	2	0	1	+0	-1.4	6
7	Lille	3	1	1	1	+3	-0.0	4
8	Paris FC	4	1	1	2	-3	-1.9	4
9	Brest	3	1	0	2	-2	-2.1	3
10	Monaco	3	1	0	2	-2	-2.0	3
11	Nantes	4	0	2	2	-2	-4.3	2
12	Rennes	3	0	2	1	-4	-3.5	2
13	Angers	3	0	1	2	-2	-1.7	1
14	Le Havre	3	0	1	2	-3	-2.1	1
15	Lorient	4	0	1	3	-7	-3.5	1
16	Nice	2	0	0	2	-5	-1.6	0
17	Auxerre	3	0	0	3	-5	-1.3	0
18	Metz	3	0	0	3	-7	-4.9	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.