Gamealyst.com

← Match Finder

Ligue 1

Referee: Thomas Leonard

Lyon

T S S S S

1–2

Full-time

Toulouse

S T T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Team trends

Lyon Toulouse

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 58%

83%

33%

Points per game

2,5

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

17%

50%

Both score Ø 34%

17%

50%

Average goals

1,7

3,3

Scored

1,2

1,5

Conceded

0,5

1,8

Goal diff per game

+0,7

-0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Ligue 1 · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 58%

83%

33%

Points per game

2,5

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 34%

17%

50%

Average goals

1,8

3,3

Scored

1,3

1,5

Conceded

0,5

1,8

Goal diff per game

+0,8

-0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,17 xG 1,18

69% Possession 31%

13 Shots 14

3 Shots on target 4

3 Blocked shots 6

2 Goalkeeper saves 2

8 Corners 5

2 Offside 0

13 Free kicks against 17

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Lyon 3. · Toulouse 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Marseille	7	5	0	2	+10	+5.5	15
2	Paris SG	6	5	0	1	+8	+3.8	15
3	Lyon	6	5	0	1	+5	+3.7	15
4	Lens	7	4	1	2	+4	+2.3	13
5	Monaco	6	4	0	2	+4	+0.8	12
6	Strasbourg	6	4	0	2	+2	+2.2	12
7	Lille	6	3	1	2	+4	+4.0	10
8	Paris FC	7	3	1	3	-1	-1.3	10
9	Rennes	6	2	3	1	-1	-3.1	9
10	Brest	7	2	2	3	+0	+0.3	8
11	Toulouse	6	2	1	3	-2	+0.5	7
12	Nice	6	2	1	3	-3	-0.9	7
13	Lorient	7	2	1	4	-7	-1.5	7
14	Nantes	7	1	3	3	-2	-5.1	6
15	Auxerre	7	2	0	5	-5	-2.2	6
16	Le Havre	6	1	2	3	-2	+1.9	5
17	Angers	6	1	2	3	-3	-2.9	5
18	Metz	7	0	2	5	-11	-8.1	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Marseille	3	3	0	0	+8	+4.3	9
2	Monaco	3	3	0	0	+6	+2.8	9
3	Lyon	3	3	0	0	+5	+5.1	9
4	Paris SG	3	3	0	0	+5	+2.6	9
5	Rennes	3	2	1	0	+3	+0.4	7
6	Nice	4	2	1	1	+2	+0.7	7
7	Lens	3	2	0	1	+4	+4.5	6
8	Paris FC	3	2	0	1	+2	+0.6	6
9	Lille	3	2	0	1	+1	+4.0	6
10	Strasbourg	3	2	0	1	+1	+1.4	6
11	Lorient	3	2	0	1	+0	+2.0	6
12	Auxerre	4	2	0	2	+0	-1.0	6
13	Brest	4	1	2	1	+2	+2.5	5
14	Le Havre	3	1	1	1	+1	+4.0	4
15	Nantes	3	1	1	1	+0	-0.8	4
16	Toulouse	3	1	1	1	-1	+0.5	4
17	Angers	3	1	1	1	-1	-1.3	4
18	Metz	4	0	2	2	-4	-3.2	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Lens	4	2	1	1	+0	-2.2	7
2	Paris SG	3	2	0	1	+3	+1.2	6
3	Marseille	4	2	0	2	+2	+1.2	6
4	Strasbourg	3	2	0	1	+1	+0.8	6
5	Lyon	3	2	0	1	+0	-1.4	6
6	Lille	3	1	1	1	+3	-0.0	4
7	Paris FC	4	1	1	2	-3	-1.9	4
8	Toulouse	3	1	0	2	-1	+0.0	3
9	Brest	3	1	0	2	-2	-2.1	3
10	Monaco	3	1	0	2	-2	-2.0	3
11	Nantes	4	0	2	2	-2	-4.3	2
12	Rennes	3	0	2	1	-4	-3.5	2
13	Angers	3	0	1	2	-2	-1.7	1
14	Le Havre	3	0	1	2	-3	-2.1	1
15	Lorient	4	0	1	3	-7	-3.5	1
16	Nice	2	0	0	2	-5	-1.6	0
17	Auxerre	3	0	0	3	-5	-1.3	0
18	Metz	3	0	0	3	-7	-4.9	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.