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Bundesliga
Referee: F Jager
Tirol
T T T S U
1–1
Full-time
SK Rapid
T T S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Tirol SK Rapid
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,8
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,3
2,3
Scored
1,0
0,8
Conceded
1,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Bundesliga · 11/12 matches
Win Ø 43%
27%
58%
Points per game
1,2
1,9
Over 2.5 Ø 48%
45%
50%
Both score Ø 66%
73%
58%
Average goals
3,0
2,4
Scored
1,5
1,4
Conceded
1,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,1
+0,4
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,18 xG 1,42
34% Possession 66%
13 Shots 15
6 Shots on target 4
4 Blocked shots 5
2 Goalkeeper saves 5
6 Corners 8
1 Offside 2
9 Free kicks against 5
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Tirol 10. · SK Rapid 2.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Salzburg 12 7 3 2 +13 +4.9 24
2 SK Rapid 12 7 2 3 +5 +0.1 23
3 Sturm Graz 11 7 0 4 +8 +3.6 21
4 Wolfsberger AC 13 6 3 4 +7 -0.5 21
5 Hartberg 13 5 4 4 +2 -1.1 19
6 Austria Vienna 13 6 1 6 -3 +0.5 19
7 Ried 13 5 2 6 -3 -2.6 17
8 LASK 12 5 1 6 -4 -4.3 16
9 Altach 12 3 5 4 -2 -0.5 14
10 Tirol 11 3 4 4 -1 +5.3 13
11 BW Linz 13 3 1 9 -9 -3.5 10
12 Grazer AK 13 1 6 6 -13 -2.0 9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Tirol SK Rapid
1–0 N. Baden Frederiksen
T. Sabitzer
7′
Moritz Wels 🟨
16′
Half-time 1–0
A. Ola-Adebomi 🔁
↦ N. Baden Frederiksen
58′
61′
🔁 L. Schaub
↦ A. Ahoussou
61′
🔁 E. Kara
↦ T. Gulliksen
Benjamin Böckle ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
68′
68′
🟨 Paul Gartler
73′
E. Kara 1–1
N. Wurmbrand
T. Anselm 🔁
↦ T. Sabitzer
79′
Ademola Ola-Adebomi 🟨
80′
80′
🔁 A. Radulovic
↦ N. Wurmbrand
Y. Votter 🔁
↦ M. Wels
87′
87′
🔁 F. Demir
↦ J. Horn
87′
🔁 M. Ndzie
↦ M. Seidl
Johannes Naschberger 🟨
93′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Tirol

3-4-2-1
40 A. Stejskal G
23 M. Boras D
5 J. Lawrence D
14 D. Kubatta D
17 J. Naschberger M
4 V. Muller M
30 M. Taferner M
20 B. Bockle M
8 N. Baden Frederiksen F
37 M. Wels F
10 T. Sabitzer F
Bench (9)
13 A. Eckmayr
3 D. Gugganig
27 D. Jaunegg
15 M. Bambara
28 T. Geris
11 T. Anselm
19 C. Huetz
9 A. Ola-Adebomi
21 Y. Votter

Coach: Philipp Semlic

SK Rapid

3-5-2
25 P. Gartler G
55 N. Cvetkovic D
20 A. Ahoussou D
6 S. Raux Yao D
77 B. Bolla M
17 T. Gulliksen M
29 R. Amane M
18 M. Seidl M
38 J. Horn M
15 N. Wurmbrand F
90 J. Antiste F
Bench (9)
1 N. Hedl
23 J. Auer
61 F. Demir
14 M. Ndzie
8 L. Grgic
21 L. Schaub
9 E. Kara
49 A. Radulovic
7 M. Tilio

Coach: Johannes Thorup

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U ✓
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

F Jager · 15 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
20,7 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.