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Conference League
Referee: Yigal Frid
SK Rapid
U T T T T
0–3
Full-time
Fiorentina
T U S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

SK Rapid Fiorentina
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,7
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
3,5
2,5
Scored
1,3
1,0
Conceded
2,2
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Conference League · 7/3 matches
Win Ø 72%
43%
100%
Points per game
1,6
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 69%
71%
67%
Both score Ø 52%
71%
33%
Average goals
3,7
3,3
Scored
2,0
2,7
Conceded
1,7
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+2,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

0,66 xG 1,64
42% Possession 58%
13 Shots 17
3 Shots on target 7
4 Blocked shots 5
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
2 Corners 5
0 Offside 1
15 Free kicks against 14
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

31. Aug -23 Fiorentina – SK Rapid 2–0 24. Aug -23 SK Rapid – Fiorentina 1–0

Match report

SK Rapid Fiorentina
9′
⚽ C. Ndour 0–1
E. Dzeko
30′
🟨 Pietro Comuzzo
Ercan Kara 🟨
35′
Half-time 0–2
48′
⚽ E. Dzeko 0–2
N. Fortini
57′
🔁 S. Sohm
↦ N. Fagioli
57′
🔁 R. Mandragora
↦ H. Nicolussi Caviglia
Matthias Seidl 🟨
61′
T. Gulliksen 🔁
↦ N. Wurmbrand
62′
J. Auer 🔁
↦ B. Bolla
62′
M. Ndzie 🔁
↦ R. Amane
75′
76′
🔁 Dodo
↦ N. Fortini
76′
🔁 A. Gudmundsson
↦ E. Dzeko
L. Schaub 🔁
↦ M. Seidl
85′
D. Weixelbraun 🔁
↦ E. Kara
85′
87′
🔁 E. Kouadio
↦ F. Parisi
88′
⚽ A. Gudmundsson 0–3
E. Kouadio
Full-time 0–3

Line-ups

SK Rapid

3-4-3
1 N. Hedl G
38 J. Horn D
20 A. Ahoussou D
6 S. Raux Yao D
77 B. Bolla M
18 M. Seidl M
29 R. Amane M
61 F. Demir M
15 N. Wurmbrand F
9 E. Kara F
90 J. Antiste F
Bench (12)
25 P. Gartler
51 B. Goschl
7 M. Tilio
14 M. Ndzie
17 T. Gulliksen
21 L. Schaub
23 J. Auer
36 J. Brunnhofer
41 D. Weixelbraun
43 M. Haidara
47 A. Groller
49 A. Radulovic

Coach: Peter Stöger

Fiorentina

3-5-2
43 D. de Gea G
15 P. Comuzzo D
18 P. Mari D
26 M. Viti D
29 N. Fortini M
27 C. Ndour M
14 H. Nicolussi Caviglia M
44 N. Fagioli M
65 F. Parisi M
9 E. Dzeko F
91 R. Piccoli F
Bench (12)
1 L. Lezzerini
30 T. Martinelli
2 Dodo
5 M. Pongracic
6 L. Ranieri
7 S. Sohm
8 R. Mandragora
10 A. Gudmundsson
11 A. Sabiri
22 J. Fazzini
24 A. Richardson
60 E. Kouadio

Coach: Stefano Pioli

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.