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Serie A
Referee: Giuseppe Collu
Roma
T S S T S
2–0
Full-time
Udinese
U U S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Roma Udinese
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 58%
33%
83%
Average goals
1,8
3,0
Scored
1,0
1,3
Conceded
0,8
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Serie A · 10/10 matches
Win Ø 55%
70%
40%
Points per game
2,1
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 35%
20%
50%
Both score Ø 45%
20%
70%
Average goals
1,5
2,7
Scored
1,0
1,2
Conceded
0,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,53 xG 1,08
58% Possession 42%
13 Shots 10
4 Shots on target 4
7 Blocked shots 5
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
3 Corners 4
2 Offside 0
13 Free kicks against 14
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Roma 5. · Udinese 10.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Milan 11 6 4 1 +8 +5.1 22
2 Napoli 11 7 1 3 +6 +3.2 22
3 Inter 10 7 0 3 +12 +10.8 21
4 Bologna 11 6 3 2 +10 +3.3 21
5 Roma 10 7 0 3 +5 +1.5 21
6 Juventus 11 5 4 2 +4 +6.0 19
7 Como 11 4 6 1 +6 +2.8 18
8 Sassuolo 11 5 1 5 +2 -3.5 16
9 Lazio 10 4 3 3 +6 -3.3 15
10 Udinese 10 4 3 3 -3 -1.8 15
11 Cremonese 11 3 5 3 -1 -6.3 14
12 Torino 11 3 5 3 -6 -4.3 14
13 Atalanta 11 2 7 2 +2 +4.6 13
14 Cagliari 11 2 4 5 -5 -6.7 10
15 Lecce 11 2 4 5 -6 -4.7 10
16 Pisa 11 1 6 4 -6 -4.1 9
17 Parma 11 1 5 5 -7 -3.7 8
18 Genoa 11 1 4 6 -8 +2.0 7
19 Verona 11 0 6 5 -10 +0.4 6
20 Fiorentina 11 0 5 6 -9 -1.3 5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Roma Udinese
Bryan Cristante 🟨
28′
Gianluca Mancini ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
40′
1–0 L. Pellegrini
42′
T. Baldanzi 🔁
↦ A. Dovbyk
43′
Half-time 1–0
Lorenzo Pellegrini 🟨
49′
54′
🔁 M. Palma
↦ C. Kabasele
2–0 Z. Celik
G. Mancini
61′
62′
🟨 Jesper Karlström
72′
🔁 J. Piotrowski
↦ J. Karlstrom
72′
🔁 K. Davis
↦ A. Buksa
N. El Aynaoui 🔁
↦ L. Pellegrini
74′
S. El Shaarawy 🔁
↦ M. Soule
74′
82′
🔁 J. Zemura
↦ H. Kamara
82′
🔁 V. Bayo
↦ N. Zaniolo
J. Ziolkowski 🔁
↦ Wesley Franca
90′
D. Ghilardi 🔁
↦ Z. Celik
90′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Roma

3-4-2-1
99 M. Svilar G
23 G. Mancini D
5 E. Ndicka D
22 M. Hermoso D
19 Z. Celik M
4 B. Cristante M
17 M. Kone M
43 Wesley Franca M
18 M. Soule F
7 L. Pellegrini F
9 A. Dovbyk F
Bench (10)
32 D. S. Vasquez Llach
95 P. Gollini
2 D. Rensch
12 K. Tsimikas
24 J. Ziolkowski
87 D. Ghilardi
8 N. El Aynaoui
61 N. Pisilli
35 T. Baldanzi
92 S. El Shaarawy

Coach: Gian Piero Gasperini

Udinese

3-5-2
40 M. Okoye G
13 N. Bertola D
27 C. Kabasele D
28 O. Solet D
59 A. Zanoli M
32 J. Ekkelenkamp M
8 J. Karlstrom M
14 A. Atta M
11 H. Kamara M
10 N. Zaniolo F
18 A. Buksa F
Bench (15)
1 A. Nunziante
90 R. Sava
93 D. Padelli
2 S. Goglichidze
16 M. Palma
19 K. Ehizibue
33 J. Zemura
77 R. Modesto
4 S. Lovric
6 O. Zarraga
24 J. Piotrowski
7 I. Gueye
9 K. Davis
15 V. Bayo
17 I. Bravo

Coach: Kosta Runjaić

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,55
U
3,94
B
6,05
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,99
U2,5 ✓
1,77
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Giuseppe Collu · 14 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,07 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.