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Premiership

Referee: D Robertson

Celtic

T S T S T

4–0

Full-time

Kilmarnock

S T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Celtic Kilmarnock

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,5

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

83%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

3,7

2,7

Scored

1,8

1,0

Conceded

1,8

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Premiership · 10/11 matches

Win Ø 39%

60%

18%

Points per game

2,0

0,9

Over 2.5 Ø 57%

50%

64%

Both score Ø 43%

30%

55%

Average goals

2,4

2,8

Scored

1,6

1,2

Conceded

0,8

1,6

Goal diff per game

+0,8

-0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

3,00 xG 0,65

75% Possession 25%

21 Shots 3

7 Shots on target 1

6 Blocked shots 0

1 Goalkeeper saves 4

8 Corners 7

0 Offside 3

14 Free kicks against 4

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Celtic 2. · Kilmarnock 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Hearts	12	9	3	0	+19	+3.5	30
2	Celtic	10	6	2	2	+8	+2.5	20
3	Hibernian	12	4	6	2	+7	+0.8	18
4	Rangers	11	4	6	1	+5	-1.0	18
5	Falkirk	12	4	4	4	-5	+1.1	16
6	Motherwell	11	3	6	2	+3	+2.7	15
7	Dundee United	11	3	5	3	+1	-1.2	14
8	Aberdeen	11	3	2	6	-4	-1.6	11
9	Kilmarnock	11	2	4	5	-5	-1.3	10
10	St Mirren	11	2	4	5	-7	-2.2	10
11	Dundee	12	2	3	7	-13	-5.2	9
12	Livingston	12	1	5	6	-9	+1.9	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Hearts	7	5	2	0	+12	+2.6	17
2	Celtic	5	4	1	0	+9	+1.8	13
3	Falkirk	7	2	4	1	+2	+1.8	10
4	Motherwell	5	2	2	1	+3	+2.0	8
5	Dundee United	5	2	1	2	+1	-0.9	7
6	Dundee	6	2	1	3	-3	-1.6	7
7	Hibernian	5	1	3	1	+3	+1.2	6
8	Rangers	5	1	3	1	+0	+1.2	6
9	St Mirren	6	1	3	2	-3	-0.5	6
10	Aberdeen	6	1	2	3	+0	-1.7	5
11	Kilmarnock	6	1	2	3	-3	+0.2	5
12	Livingston	5	1	1	3	-1	+2.7	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Hearts	5	4	1	0	+7	+0.9	13
2	Rangers	6	3	3	0	+5	-2.2	12
3	Hibernian	7	3	3	1	+4	-0.4	12
4	Dundee United	6	1	4	1	+0	-0.3	7
5	Motherwell	6	1	4	1	+0	+0.7	7
6	Celtic	5	2	1	2	-1	+0.7	7
7	Aberdeen	5	2	0	3	-4	+0.1	6
8	Falkirk	5	2	0	3	-7	-0.8	6
9	Kilmarnock	5	1	2	2	-2	-1.5	5
10	St Mirren	5	1	1	3	-4	-1.8	4
11	Livingston	7	0	4	3	-8	-0.7	4
12	Dundee	6	0	2	4	-10	-3.6	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.