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Bundesliga

Referee: S Barmaksiz

Wolfsberger AC

T T T S T

2–2

Full-time

Grazer AK

T S S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Wolfsberger AC Grazer AK

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

0,7

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 84%

67%

100%

Both score Ø 84%

67%

100%

Average goals

2,3

3,3

Scored

0,8

1,8

Conceded

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,7

+0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Bundesliga · 17/17 matches

Win Ø 30%

41%

18%

Points per game

1,4

0,9

Over 2.5 Ø 65%

65%

Both score Ø 65%

65%

Average goals

2,7

Scored

1,5

1,0

Conceded

1,2

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

0,88 xG 2,21

40% Possession 60%

8 Shots 16

3 Shots on target 10

2 Blocked shots 3

8 Goalkeeper saves 1

4 Corners 6

0 Offside 2

5 Free kicks against 17

2 Yellow cards 2

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Wolfsberger AC 8. · Grazer AK 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Salzburg	18	9	5	4	+13	+4.9	32
2	LASK	18	10	2	6	+4	+0.2	32
3	Austria Vienna	18	9	2	7	+1	-0.6	29
4	Sturm Graz	17	9	1	7	+4	+3.5	28
5	Hartberg	18	7	6	5	+4	-2.5	27
6	Ried	17	8	2	7	+0	+0.9	26
7	SK Rapid	18	7	5	6	+0	-0.1	26
8	Wolfsberger AC	17	7	3	7	+4	-2.7	24
9	Altach	17	5	6	6	-1	-1.6	21
10	Tirol	18	5	6	7	-3	+4.6	21
11	Grazer AK	17	3	6	8	-12	-2.8	15
12	BW Linz	17	3	2	12	-14	-3.9	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	LASK	9	6	1	2	+5	-0.8	19
2	Salzburg	10	5	2	3	+8	+3.2	17
3	Ried	9	4	2	3	+1	+1.7	14
4	Wolfsberger AC	9	4	1	4	+2	-0.1	13
5	Altach	8	3	4	1	+2	+2.1	13
6	Austria Vienna	9	4	1	4	-3	+0.8	13
7	Tirol	8	3	2	3	+1	+2.3	11
8	Hartberg	8	3	2	3	+1	-0.4	11
9	SK Rapid	9	3	2	4	-1	+0.3	11
10	Grazer AK	9	2	4	3	-2	+0.9	10
11	BW Linz	9	2	1	6	-4	-1.6	7
12	Sturm Graz	8	2	1	5	-6	+1.1	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Sturm Graz	9	7	0	2	+10	+2.4	21
2	Austria Vienna	9	5	1	3	+4	-1.4	16
3	Hartberg	10	4	4	2	+3	-2.1	16
4	Salzburg	8	4	3	1	+5	+1.8	15
5	SK Rapid	9	4	3	2	+1	-0.4	15
6	LASK	9	4	1	4	-1	+1.0	13
7	Ried	8	4	0	4	-1	-0.8	12
8	Wolfsberger AC	8	3	2	3	+2	-2.6	11
9	Tirol	10	2	4	4	-4	+2.4	10
10	Altach	9	2	2	5	-3	-3.7	8
11	Grazer AK	8	1	2	5	-10	-3.7	5
12	BW Linz	8	1	1	6	-10	-2.3	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.