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Super League

Referee: T Tzilos

Panserraikos

T T S T T

0–4

Full-time

AEK

U U S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Panserraikos AEK

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

0,5

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

2,8

2,3

Scored

0,5

1,7

Conceded

2,3

0,7

Goal diff per game

-1,8

+1,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Super League · 20/21 matches

Win Ø 41%

10%

71%

Points per game

0,5

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

55%

29%

Both score Ø 39%

40%

38%

Average goals

2,9

2,3

Scored

0,6

1,7

Conceded

2,4

0,7

Goal diff per game

-1,8

+1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,34 xG 3,67

20% Possession 80%

2 Shots 20

1 Shots on target 6

0 Blocked shots 5

2 Goalkeeper saves 1

0 Corners 9

1 Offside 1

11 Free kicks against 11

4 Yellow cards 3

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Panserraikos 15. · AEK 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Olympiakos	21	15	5	1	+30	–	50
2	AEK	21	15	4	2	+21	–	49
3	PAOK	19	15	2	2	+30	–	47
4	Levadeiakos	21	11	7	3	+25	–	40
5	Panathinaikos	19	8	6	5	+6	–	30
6	Aris Thessalonikis	19	6	7	6	-3	–	25
7	Aris	19	6	7	6	-3	–	25
8	Volos NFC	21	8	1	12	-12	–	25
9	OFI Crete	19	8	0	11	-6	–	24
10	Larisa	22	5	7	10	-13	+0.8	22
11	Panetolikos	22	6	3	13	-13	-0.8	21
12	Atromitos	21	5	5	11	-6	–	20
13	Kifisia	20	4	7	9	-7	–	19
14	Asteras Tripolis	22	3	8	11	-13	–	17
15	Panserraikos	20	2	3	15	-36	–	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	PAOK	11	10	1	0	+21	–	31
2	Olympiakos	10	9	1	0	+19	–	28
3	AEK	11	9	1	1	+13	–	28
4	Levadeiakos	11	7	2	2	+19	–	23
5	Panathinaikos	9	6	2	1	+10	–	20
6	OFI Crete	10	5	0	5	+7	–	15
7	Volos NFC	9	4	1	4	-4	–	13
8	Larisa	12	3	4	5	-8	+0.8	13
9	Aris Thessalonikis	9	2	6	1	+1	–	12
10	Aris	9	2	6	1	+1	–	12
11	Asteras Tripolis	11	2	5	4	-1	–	11
12	Kifisia	10	2	3	5	-2	–	9
13	Panserraikos	9	2	1	6	-12	–	7
14	Atromitos	11	1	3	7	-6	–	6
15	Panetolikos	11	2	0	9	-12	–	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Olympiakos	11	6	4	1	+11	–	22
2	AEK	10	6	3	1	+8	–	21
3	Levadeiakos	10	4	5	1	+6	–	17
4	PAOK	8	5	1	2	+9	–	16
5	Panetolikos	11	4	3	4	-1	-0.8	15
6	Atromitos	10	4	2	4	+0	–	14
7	Aris Thessalonikis	10	4	1	5	-4	–	13
8	Aris	10	4	1	5	-4	–	13
9	Volos NFC	12	4	0	8	-8	–	12
10	Panathinaikos	10	2	4	4	-4	–	10
11	Kifisia	10	2	4	4	-5	–	10
12	Larisa	10	2	3	5	-5	–	9
13	OFI Crete	9	3	0	6	-13	–	9
14	Asteras Tripolis	11	1	3	7	-12	–	6
15	Panserraikos	11	0	2	9	-24	–	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.