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Bundesliga

Referee: S Ebner

SK Rapid

T S S T U

1–2

Full-time

Grazer AK

T U T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

SK Rapid Grazer AK

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,2

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

2,2

2,0

Scored

0,8

Conceded

1,3

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Bundesliga · 13/13 matches

Win Ø 31%

54%

Points per game

1,8

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

46%

54%

Both score Ø 58%

62%

54%

Average goals

2,4

2,5

Scored

1,4

0,8

Conceded

1,0

1,8

Goal diff per game

+0,4

-1,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,27 xG 0,94

56% Possession 44%

10 Shots 6

3 Shots on target 3

2 Blocked shots 2

1 Goalkeeper saves 2

7 Corners 3

1 Offside 4

14 Free kicks against 14

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match SK Rapid 2. · Grazer AK 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Salzburg	14	7	4	3	+12	+3.4	25
2	SK Rapid	13	7	3	3	+5	+0.3	24
3	Sturm Graz	13	7	1	5	+6	+4.6	22
4	Hartberg	14	6	4	4	+4	-1.0	22
5	LASK	14	7	1	6	-1	-3.6	22
6	Austria Vienna	14	7	1	6	-2	-0.4	22
7	Wolfsberger AC	14	6	3	5	+5	-2.6	21
8	Tirol	13	4	5	4	+0	+6.1	17
9	Altach	14	4	5	5	-1	+0.5	17
10	Ried	14	5	2	7	-5	-2.7	17
11	BW Linz	14	3	1	10	-10	-2.6	10
12	Grazer AK	13	1	6	6	-13	-2.0	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Salzburg	8	4	2	2	+9	+2.5	14
2	LASK	7	4	1	2	+1	-1.8	13
3	Altach	7	3	3	1	+2	+3.1	12
4	Tirol	7	3	2	2	+4	+3.7	11
5	Wolfsberger AC	8	3	1	4	+1	-0.7	10
6	SK Rapid	6	3	1	2	+1	+0.1	10
7	Austria Vienna	7	3	0	4	-5	+0.4	9
8	Ried	7	2	2	3	-3	-0.9	8
9	Hartberg	5	2	1	2	+1	+0.2	7
10	Grazer AK	7	1	4	2	-3	+1.4	7
11	BW Linz	7	2	0	5	-2	-1.2	6
12	Sturm Graz	6	1	1	4	-5	+1.0	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Sturm Graz	7	6	0	1	+11	+3.6	18
2	Hartberg	9	4	3	2	+3	-1.3	15
3	SK Rapid	7	4	2	1	+4	+0.2	14
4	Austria Vienna	7	4	1	2	+3	-0.8	13
5	Wolfsberger AC	6	3	2	1	+4	-1.9	11
6	Salzburg	6	3	2	1	+3	+0.9	11
7	Ried	7	3	0	4	-2	-1.8	9
8	LASK	7	3	0	4	-2	-1.8	9
9	Tirol	6	1	3	2	-4	+2.4	6
10	Altach	7	1	2	4	-3	-2.5	5
11	BW Linz	7	1	1	5	-8	-1.4	4
12	Grazer AK	6	0	2	4	-10	-3.3	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.