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Eredivisie
Referee: M van den Kerkhof
Utrecht
T T T T U
0–1
Full-time
Feyenoord
T S S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Utrecht Feyenoord
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
0,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
50%
100%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,8
4,3
Scored
0,8
2,2
Conceded
2,0
2,2
Goal diff per game
-1,2
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Eredivisie · 19/21 matches
Win Ø 45%
32%
57%
Points per game
1,2
1,9
Over 2.5 Ø 62%
53%
71%
Both score Ø 65%
68%
62%
Average goals
2,8
4,0
Scored
1,5
2,4
Conceded
1,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,9
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

1,06 xG 0,95
47% Possession 53%
6 Shots 10
5 Shots on target 4
1 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 5
2 Corners 7
1 Offside 0
12 Free kicks against 14
3 Yellow cards 4
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Utrecht 13. · Feyenoord 3.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 PSV Eindhoven 21 18 2 1 +39 +20.9 56
2 Nijmegen 21 12 5 4 +21 +8.2 41
3 Feyenoord 21 12 3 6 +19 +18.3 39
4 Sparta Rotterdam 22 11 3 8 -7 -2.5 36
5 Ajax 20 9 8 3 +11 +6.9 35
6 Twente 22 8 10 4 +12 +23.6 34
7 AZ Alkmaar 21 9 5 7 +1 +13.3 32
8 Groningen 20 9 4 7 +4 +11.3 31
9 For Sittard 22 7 5 10 -5 -14.1 26
10 Excelsior 22 7 5 10 -13 -13.3 26
11 Zwolle 22 7 5 10 -14 -15.9 26
12 Heerenveen 20 6 6 8 -4 +9.8 24
13 Utrecht 19 6 5 8 +3 -2.4 23
14 Go Ahead Eagles 20 4 10 6 -3 -12.6 22
15 Volendam 22 5 6 11 -13 -18.4 21
16 Heracles 22 5 2 15 -26 -15.4 17
17 Telstar 21 3 7 11 -12 -9.8 16
18 NAC Breda 22 3 7 12 -13 -7.9 16

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Utrecht Feyenoord
10′
O. Targhalline 0–1
J. Moder
28′
🟨 Luciano Valente
Half-time 0–1
Y. Cathline 🔁
↦ A. Alarcon
46′
A. Stepanov 🔁
↦ C. Bozdogan
46′
57′
🔁 S. Steijn
↦ J. Moder
58′
🔁 L. Sauer
↦ A. Sliti
59′
🟨 Oussama Targhalline
M. Rodriguez 🔁
↦ J. Karlsson
61′
63′
🟨 In-Beom Hwang
Miguel Rodríguez 🟨
70′
70′
🔁 J. St. Juste
↦ T. Watanabe
N. Viergever 🔁
↦ M. van der Hoorn
74′
Miguel Rodríguez 🟨
78′
Miguel Rodríguez 🟥
78′
A. Blake 🔁
↦ N. Vesterlund
82′
82′
🔁 B. Nieuwkoop
↦ J. Bos
82′
🔁 T. Kraaijeveld
↦ Hwang In-Beom
90′
🟨 Timon Wellenreuther
Dani de Wit 🟨
93′
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Utrecht

4-3-3
1 V. Barkas G
23 N. Vesterlund D
40 M. Didden D
3 M. van der Hoorn D
16 S. El Karouani D
27 A. Engwanda M
21 G. Zechiel M
8 C. Bozdogan M
77 A. Alarcon F
20 D. de Wit F
11 J. Karlsson F
Bench (12)
25 M. Brouwer
33 K. Gadellaa
10 Y. Cathline
15 A. Blake
17 E. Demircan
18 A. Stepanov
22 M. Rodriguez
24 N. Viergever
38 O. Agougil
46 J. van Ommeren
50 V. Plantinga
53 N. Viereck

Coach: Ron Jans

Feyenoord

4-2-3-1
22 T. Wellenreuther G
20 M. Deijl D
4 T. Watanabe D
21 A. Ahmedhodzic D
15 J. Bos D
28 O. Targhalline M
6 Hwang In-Beom M
23 A. Hadj Moussa M
10 L. Valente M
32 A. Sliti M
7 J. Moder F
Bench (11)
13 S. Benda
39 L. Bossin
2 B. Nieuwkoop
30 J. Lotomba
8 J. St. Juste
24 T. Kraaijeveld
72 H. Agboluaje
44 T. van den Elshout
14 S. Steijn
16 L. Sauer
17 C. Tengstedt

Coach: Robin van Persie

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,10
U
3,59
B ✓
2,13
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,64
U2,5 ✓
2,14
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

M van den Kerkhof · 96 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,5 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
18,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.