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LaLiga2
Referee: A de Ena Wolf
Malaga
S S S S T
2–1
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Malaga Cultural Leonesa
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
83%
0%
Points per game
2,5
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
2,8
3,7
Scored
2,0
1,3
Conceded
0,8
2,3
Goal diff per game
+1,2
-1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — LaLiga2 · 24/24 matches
Win Ø 38%
46%
29%
Points per game
1,6
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 52%
58%
46%
Both score Ø 50%
58%
42%
Average goals
2,7
2,6
Scored
1,5
1,0
Conceded
1,2
1,6
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

64% Possession 36%
18 Shots 4
8 Shots on target 3
1 Blocked shots 0
2 Goalkeeper saves 6
8 Corners 2
0 Offside 1
8 Free kicks against 17
2 Yellow cards 6
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Malaga 8. · Cultural Leonesa 20.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Castellon 25 13 6 6 +17 +3.0 45
2 Santander 24 13 5 6 +17 +0.5 44
3 La Coruna 25 12 7 6 +13 +2.7 43
4 Almeria 25 12 6 7 +11 +0.9 42
5 Las Palmas 25 10 10 5 +9 -0.4 40
6 Burgos 25 11 6 8 +4 +3.1 39
7 Sp Gijon 25 12 3 10 +2 +1.9 39
8 Malaga 24 11 5 8 +8 +0.3 38
9 Cordoba 24 10 8 6 +5 +1.0 38
10 Ceuta 24 10 5 9 -4 -5.1 35
11 Cadiz 25 9 7 9 -2 -1.0 34
12 Albacete 25 9 6 10 -5 +2.3 33
13 Leganes 25 8 8 9 +2 +5.6 32
14 Eibar 25 8 8 9 -1 +0.5 32
15 Granada 25 6 11 8 -3 -0.4 29
16 Andorra 25 7 8 10 -8 +1.6 29
17 Sociedad B 25 7 7 11 -3 -4.8 28
18 Valladolid 25 7 7 11 -6 +2.4 28
19 Huesca 25 7 6 12 -11 +0.4 27
20 Cultural Leonesa 24 7 4 13 -13 -9.0 25
21 Zaragoza 25 5 8 12 -16 -2.8 23
22 Mirandes 24 5 5 14 -16 -2.8 20

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Malaga Cultural Leonesa
28′
🟨 Sergio Maestre
40′
I. Calero 0–1
M. Diallo Selu
Half-time 0–1
A. Ochoa 🔁
↦ D. Lorenzo
46′
58′
🟨 Édgar Badía
1–1 D. Larrubia
Chupe
63′
Juanpe 🔁
↦ I. Merino
70′
A. Nino 🔁
↦ J. Munoz
70′
77′
🔁 Bicho
↦ M. Diallo Selu
77′
🔁 D. Collado
↦ R. Sobrino
77′
🔁 Y. Gonzalez
↦ R. Tresaco
79′
🟨 Matia Barzić
Aarón Ochoa 🟨
81′
81′
🟨 Rodri Suárez
85′
🟨 Roger Hinojo
85′
🔁 E. Satrustegui
↦ R. Hinojo
E. Jauregi 🔁
↦ Chupe
87′
2–1 D. Larrubia
90′
92′
🔁 V. Moreno
↦ I. Calero
David Larrubia 🟨
95′
96′
🟨 Diego Collado
R. Rodriguez 🔁
↦ C. Dotor
96′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Malaga

4-3-3
1 A. Herrero G
3 C. Puga D
16 D. Murillo D
20 J. Montero D
31 Rafita D
12 C. Dotor M
23 I. Merino M
22 D. Lorenzo M
10 D. Larrubia F
9 Chupe F
11 J. Munoz F
Bench (12)
35 A. Ochoa
24 J. Lobete
4 E. Galilea
17 E. Jauregi
7 H. Abaida
8 Juanpe
25 J. Dorrio
2 J. Gabilondo
13 C. Lopez
36 A. Recio
37 R. Rodriguez
21 A. Nino

Coach: Juan Funes

Cultural Leonesa

4-4-2
13 E. Badia G
24 V. Garcia D
4 Rodri Suarez D
36 M. Barzic D
21 R. Hinojo D
17 I. Calero M
23 M. Diallo Selu M
6 S. Maestre M
20 R. Tresaco M
10 L. Chacon F
19 R. Sobrino F
Bench (12)
14 Bicho
12 H. Al Amin
38 S. Cuello
16 T. Ribeiro
9 M. Justo
5 Q. Fornos
11 V. Moreno
1 M. Banuz
7 D. Collado
3 E. Satrustegui
2 P. Rodriguez
8 Y. Gonzalez

Coach: Ruben de la Barrera

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,71
U
3,47
B
4,67
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,94
U2,5
1,78
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

A de Ena Wolf · 13 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
6,0 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,5 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,08 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.