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Bundesliga

Referee: D Pfister

Grazer AK

S S T T U

1–1

Full-time

Salzburg

T S S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Grazer AK Salzburg

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,2

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

100%

50%

Both score Ø 75%

100%

50%

Average goals

3,3

2,8

Scored

1,7

1,5

Conceded

1,7

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Bundesliga · 18/18 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

0,9

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 70%

67%

72%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

2,8

3,3

Scored

1,1

2,0

Conceded

1,7

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,7

+0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

1,02 xG 2,14

34% Possession 66%

11 Shots 14

2 Shots on target 6

2 Blocked shots 3

5 Goalkeeper saves 1

1 Corners 10

2 Offside 2

9 Free kicks against 8

3 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Grazer AK 11. · Salzburg 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	LASK	19	10	3	6	+4	+1.7	33
2	Salzburg	18	9	5	4	+13	+4.9	32
3	Sturm Graz	19	10	1	8	+4	+3.2	31
4	Austria Vienna	18	9	2	7	+1	-0.6	29
5	Hartberg	19	7	7	5	+4	-2.7	28
6	Ried	19	8	3	8	-1	-0.8	27
7	SK Rapid	18	7	5	6	+0	-0.1	26
8	Wolfsberger AC	18	7	4	7	+4	-4.0	25
9	Altach	19	6	7	6	+0	-0.8	25
10	Tirol	19	6	6	7	-2	+5.1	24
11	Grazer AK	18	3	7	8	-12	-1.5	16
12	BW Linz	18	3	2	13	-15	-4.5	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	LASK	9	6	1	2	+5	-0.8	19
2	Salzburg	10	5	2	3	+8	+3.2	17
3	Altach	9	4	4	1	+3	+2.7	16
4	Ried	10	4	3	3	+1	+0.2	15
5	Tirol	9	4	2	3	+2	+2.7	14
6	Wolfsberger AC	10	4	2	4	+2	-1.4	14
7	Austria Vienna	9	4	1	4	-3	+0.8	13
8	Hartberg	9	3	3	3	+1	-0.6	12
9	SK Rapid	9	3	2	4	-1	+0.3	11
10	Grazer AK	9	2	4	3	-2	+0.9	10
11	Sturm Graz	9	3	1	5	-5	+1.3	10
12	BW Linz	9	2	1	6	-4	-1.6	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Sturm Graz	10	7	0	3	+9	+1.9	21
2	Austria Vienna	9	5	1	3	+4	-1.4	16
3	Hartberg	10	4	4	2	+3	-2.1	16
4	Salzburg	8	4	3	1	+5	+1.8	15
5	SK Rapid	9	4	3	2	+1	-0.4	15
6	LASK	10	4	2	4	-1	+2.5	14
7	Ried	9	4	0	5	-2	-1.0	12
8	Wolfsberger AC	8	3	2	3	+2	-2.6	11
9	Tirol	10	2	4	4	-4	+2.4	10
10	Altach	10	2	3	5	-3	-3.5	9
11	Grazer AK	9	1	3	5	-10	-2.4	6
12	BW Linz	9	1	1	7	-11	-2.9	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.