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Bundesliga

Referee: E Ristoskov

Ried

T S T S S

3–0

Full-time

Altach

T T S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ried Altach

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,5

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,7

3,0

Scored

1,0

1,7

Conceded

1,7

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,7

+0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Bundesliga · 16/16 matches

Win Ø 38%

44%

31%

Points per game

1,4

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 41%

50%

31%

Both score Ø 47%

50%

44%

Average goals

2,7

2,1

Scored

1,3

1,1

Conceded

1,4

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,1

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

2,57 xG 0,00

47% Possession 53%

14 Shots 1

5 Shots on target 0

3 Blocked shots 0

0 Goalkeeper saves 2

6 Corners 5

2 Offside 2

9 Free kicks against 7

2 Yellow cards 7

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Ried 8. · Altach 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Salzburg	16	8	5	3	+14	+4.3	29
2	Sturm Graz	16	9	1	6	+6	+4.6	28
3	LASK	16	8	2	6	+2	-1.1	26
4	Wolfsberger AC	16	7	3	6	+5	-2.0	24
5	SK Rapid	16	7	3	6	+0	-1.4	24
6	Hartberg	16	6	5	5	+3	-2.5	23
7	Austria Vienna	16	7	2	7	-3	-1.8	23
8	Ried	16	7	2	7	-3	-1.7	23
9	Altach	16	5	6	5	+2	+1.0	21
10	Tirol	16	5	6	5	-1	+5.4	21
11	Grazer AK	16	3	6	7	-11	-1.5	15
12	BW Linz	16	3	1	12	-14	-3.5	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	LASK	8	5	1	2	+4	-0.7	16
2	Salzburg	8	4	2	2	+9	+2.5	14
3	Wolfsberger AC	9	4	1	4	+2	-0.1	13
4	Altach	8	3	4	1	+2	+2.1	13
5	Tirol	8	3	2	3	+1	+2.3	11
6	Ried	8	3	2	3	-2	-0.9	11
7	Grazer AK	8	2	4	2	-1	+2.3	10
8	SK Rapid	8	3	1	4	-1	-0.5	10
9	Austria Vienna	8	3	1	4	-5	-0.4	10
10	Hartberg	7	2	2	3	+0	-1.2	8
11	Sturm Graz	8	2	1	5	-6	+1.1	7
12	BW Linz	8	2	0	6	-4	-1.2	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Sturm Graz	8	7	0	1	+12	+3.6	21
2	Salzburg	8	4	3	1	+5	+1.8	15
3	Hartberg	9	4	3	2	+3	-1.3	15
4	SK Rapid	8	4	2	2	+1	-0.8	14
5	Austria Vienna	8	4	1	3	+2	-1.4	13
6	Ried	8	4	0	4	-1	-0.8	12
7	Wolfsberger AC	7	3	2	2	+3	-1.9	11
8	Tirol	8	2	4	2	-2	+3.1	10
9	LASK	8	3	1	4	-2	-0.4	10
10	Altach	8	2	2	4	+0	-1.1	8
11	Grazer AK	8	1	2	5	-10	-3.7	5
12	BW Linz	8	1	1	6	-10	-2.3	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.