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Super League
Referee: U Schnyder
Sion
S S S T T
1–2
Full-time
Lugano
T T U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sion Lugano
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
67%
0%
Points per game
2,0
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,8
2,0
Scored
1,7
0,7
Conceded
1,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,7
This season — Super League · 9/9 matches
Win Ø 34%
56%
11%
Points per game
1,8
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
2,9
2,0
Scored
1,6
0,9
Conceded
1,3
1,1
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

54% Possession 46%
11 Shots 16
2 Shots on target 5
4 Blocked shots 5
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
3 Corners 6
0 Offside 3
15 Free kicks against 12
3 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sion 4. · Lugano 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Basel 9 7 1 1 +16 22
2 Young Boys 9 5 4 0 +9 19
3 St. Gallen 9 5 1 3 +5 16
4 Sion 9 5 1 3 +2 16
5 Luzern 10 3 3 4 -2 12
6 Servette 10 2 5 3 +0 11
7 Zurich 9 3 2 4 -10 11
8 Xamax 10 1 5 4 -6 8
9 Lugano 9 1 3 5 -2 6
10 Thun 10 1 3 6 -12 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

11. Aug -19 Lugano – Sion 0–1

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.