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Bundesliga
Referee: S Stegemann
Hoffenheim
U T T S S
1–2
Full-time
Ein Frankfurt
T U T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hoffenheim Ein Frankfurt
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
33%
0%
Points per game
1,2
0,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
3,8
3,2
Scored
1,5
1,0
Conceded
2,3
2,2
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-1,2
This season — Bundesliga · 17/17 matches
Win Ø 38%
47%
29%
Points per game
1,6
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 71%
65%
76%
Both score Ø 65%
59%
71%
Average goals
3,1
3,3
Scored
1,5
1,6
Conceded
1,6
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,1
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

64% Possession 36%
12 Shots 13
5 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
8 Corners 6
3 Offside 0
10 Free kicks against 13
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hoffenheim 7. · Ein Frankfurt 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 RB Leipzig 17 11 4 2 +28 37
2 M'gladbach 18 11 2 5 +13 35
3 Bayern Munich 17 10 3 4 +24 33
4 Schalke 04 18 9 6 3 +10 33
5 Dortmund 17 8 6 3 +17 30
6 Leverkusen 17 8 4 5 +2 28
7 Hoffenheim 17 8 3 6 -3 27
8 Freiburg 17 7 5 5 +4 26
9 Wolfsburg 17 6 6 5 +0 24
10 Augsburg 17 6 5 6 -3 23
11 Union Berlin 17 6 2 9 -4 20
12 Hertha 17 5 4 8 -7 19
13 Ein Frankfurt 17 5 3 9 -2 18
14 Mainz 17 6 0 11 -14 18
15 FC Koln 17 5 2 10 -13 17
16 Fortuna Dusseldorf 17 4 3 10 -18 15
17 Werder Bremen 17 3 5 9 -18 14
18 Paderborn 17 3 3 11 -16 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Hoffenheim Ein Frankfurt
18′
B. Dost 0–1
M. Gaćinović
Half-time 0–1
M. Dabour 🔁
↦ I. Bebou
46′
1–1 K. Stafylidis
48′
62′
T. Chandler 1–2
F. Kostić
Stefan Posch 🟨
65′
S. Adamyan 🔁
↦ D. Geiger
69′
Benjamin Hübner 🟨
76′
J. Locadia 🔁
↦ S. Posch
82′
82′
🔁 D. da Costa
↦ T. Chandler
85′
🔁 D. Kohr
↦ M. Gaćinović
89′
🟨 Bas Dost
90′
🟨 Dominik Kohr
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Hoffenheim

4-3-3
12 P. Pentke G
6 H. Nordtveit D
21 B. Hübner D
5 K. Stafylidis D
38 S. Posch D
16 S. Rudy M
11 F. Grillitsch M
8 D. Geiger M
14 C. Baumgartner F
27 A. Kramarić F
9 I. Bebou F
Bench (9)
10 M. Dabour
23 S. Adamyan
37 J. Locadia
18 D. Samassekou
4 E. Bičakčić
3 P. Kadeřábek
28 M. Esser
17 S. Zuber
25 K. Akpoguma

Coach: A. Schreuder

Ein Frankfurt

4-4-1-1
1 K. Trapp G
19 D. Abraham D
22 T. Chandler M
13 M. Hinteregger D
18 A. Touré D
2 O. N'Dicka D
17 S. Rode M
10 F. Kostić M
11 M. Gaćinović F
8 D. Sow M
9 B. Dost F
Bench (8)
24 D. da Costa
28 D. Kohr
25 E. Durm
39 Gonçalo Paciência
33 André Silva
6 J. de Guzmán
32 F. Rønnow
7 D. Joveljić

Coach: A. Hütter

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,37
U
3,68
B ✓
2,81
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,54
U2,5
2,43
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

S Stegemann · 140 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.