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Championship
Referee: D Bond
Bristol City
T T S T S
1–0
Full-time
Barnsley
S U U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bristol City Barnsley
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,0
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
17%
83%
Average goals
2,8
3,2
Scored
1,2
1,8
Conceded
1,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,5
This season — Championship · 27/27 matches
Win Ø 30%
41%
19%
Points per game
1,5
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 61%
63%
59%
Both score Ø 65%
59%
70%
Average goals
3,0
3,1
Scored
1,5
1,3
Conceded
1,5
1,9
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

42% Possession 58%
10 Shots 16
2 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 7
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
9 Corners 5
1 Offside 4
8 Free kicks against 14
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Bristol City 8. · Barnsley 22.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 West Brom 27 14 11 2 +20 53
2 Leeds 28 15 7 6 +19 52
3 Fulham 26 14 5 7 +13 47
4 Nott'm Forest 26 12 8 6 +9 44
5 Sheffield Weds 27 12 6 9 +13 42
6 Swansea 25 11 9 5 +7 42
7 Millwall 27 10 11 6 +2 41
8 Bristol City 27 11 8 8 +1 41
9 Preston 27 11 7 9 +4 40
10 Hull 27 11 6 10 +5 39
11 QPR 28 11 5 12 -5 38
12 Brentford 24 11 4 9 +17 37
13 Blackburn 27 10 7 10 +0 37
14 Cardiff 26 9 10 7 -2 37
15 Reading 26 10 6 10 +5 36
16 Middlesbrough 28 8 10 10 -7 34
17 Derby 27 8 10 9 -8 34
18 Birmingham 27 9 5 13 -11 32
19 Charlton 27 7 8 12 -3 29
20 Huddersfield 27 7 7 13 -13 28
21 Stoke 27 7 4 16 -9 25
22 Barnsley 27 5 9 13 -15 24
23 Wigan 27 5 8 14 -17 23
24 Luton 27 6 3 18 -25 21

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Bristol City Barnsley
Half-time 0–0
61′
🟨 Aapo Halme
69′
🟨 Ben Williams
71′
🔁 K. Ludewig
↦ B. Williams
C. O'Dowda 🔁
↦ J. Paterson
86′
1–0 N. Eliasson
J. Dasilva
87′
Niclas Eliasson 🟨
88′
88′
🔁 Elliot Simões
↦ L. Thomas
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Bristol City

4-1-4-1
1 D. Bentley
29 A. Williams D
2 J. Hunt D
6 N. Baker D
3 J. Dasilva D
7 K. Smith M
19 N. Eliasson M
8 J. Brownhill M
14 A. Weimann M
20 J. Paterson M
9 F. Diedhiou F
Bench (7)
11 C. O'Dowda
25 T. Rowe
38 J. Wollacott
23 T. Moore
18 A. Semenyo
4 Á. Nagy
42 H. Massengo

Coach: L. Johnson

Barnsley

4-3-1-2
40 B. Collins G
24 A. Halme D
6 M. Andersen D
2 J. Williams D
3 B. Williams D
17 M. Ritzmaier M
4 K. Dougall M
27 A. Mowatt M
16 L. Thomas M
11 C. Chaplin F
7 J. Brown F
Bench (7)
14 K. Ludewig
28 Elliot Simões
21 T. Sibbick
19 P. Schmidt
13 J. Walton
20 C. Styles
42 R. Palmer

Coach: A. Murray

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,23
U
3,47
B
3,14
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,68
U2,5 ✓
2,17
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

D Bond · 157 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.