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Primeira Liga

Referee: Jorge de Sousa

Aves

S T T T T

3–0

Full-time

Portimonense

S T U U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aves Portimonense

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

17%

Points per game

0,5

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

33%

17%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

2,0

1,8

Scored

0,7

0,8

Conceded

1,3

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,7

-0,2

This season — Primeira Liga · 17/17 matches

Win Ø 12%

12%

Points per game

0,4

0,9

Over 2.5 Ø 44%

59%

29%

Both score Ø 56%

59%

53%

Average goals

2,9

1,9

Scored

0,9

0,7

Conceded

2,0

1,2

Goal diff per game

-1,1

-0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

39% Possession 61%

12 Shots 9

7 Shots on target 1

1 Blocked shots 5

0 Goalkeeper saves 2

5 Corners 7

1 Offside 2

12 Free kicks against 12

3 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Aves 19. · Portimonense 16. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benfica	18	17	0	1	+37	51
2	Porto	18	14	2	2	+28	44
3	Famalicao	17	10	3	4	+8	33
4	Sp Lisbon	18	10	2	6	+10	32
5	Sp Braga	18	8	3	7	+6	27
6	Rio Ave	17	7	4	6	+2	25
7	Guimaraes	17	5	8	4	+6	23
8	Gil Vicente	17	5	7	5	+0	22
9	Tondela	17	5	5	7	-4	20
10	Maritimo	17	4	8	5	-7	20
11	Boavista	17	4	7	6	-3	19
12	Setubal	16	4	7	5	-7	19
13	Vitoria Setubal	16	4	7	5	-7	19
14	Moreirense	17	4	6	7	-4	18
15	Santa Clara	17	4	6	7	-8	18
16	Portimonense	17	2	9	6	-9	15
17	Pacos Ferreira	17	4	3	10	-12	15
18	Belenenses	16	4	3	9	-18	15
19	Aves	17	2	0	15	-18	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benfica	10	9	0	1	+22	27
2	Porto	9	8	0	1	+21	24
3	Famalicao	8	6	1	1	+11	19
4	Gil Vicente	10	4	6	0	+7	18
5	Guimaraes	8	4	2	2	+9	14
6	Moreirense	8	4	2	2	+3	14
7	Rio Ave	9	4	2	3	+3	14
8	Sp Braga	8	4	2	2	+2	14
9	Setubal	9	3	5	1	+1	14
10	Vitoria Setubal	9	3	5	1	+1	14
11	Sp Lisbon	8	4	0	4	+1	12
12	Maritimo	9	2	5	2	-1	11
13	Pacos Ferreira	9	3	1	5	-2	10
14	Boavista	9	2	4	3	-2	10
15	Santa Clara	10	2	3	5	-6	9
16	Portimonense	8	1	4	3	-3	7
17	Belenenses	7	2	1	4	-9	7
18	Aves	7	2	0	5	-2	6
19	Tondela	7	1	2	4	-4	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benfica	8	8	0	0	+15	24
2	Sp Lisbon	10	6	2	2	+9	20
3	Porto	9	6	2	1	+7	20
4	Tondela	10	4	3	3	+0	15
5	Famalicao	9	4	2	3	-3	14
6	Sp Braga	10	4	1	5	+4	13
7	Rio Ave	8	3	2	3	-1	11
8	Boavista	8	2	3	3	-1	9
9	Santa Clara	7	2	3	2	-2	9
10	Guimaraes	9	1	6	2	-3	9
11	Maritimo	8	2	3	3	-6	9
12	Portimonense	9	1	5	3	-6	8
13	Belenenses	9	2	2	5	-9	8
14	Setubal	7	1	2	4	-8	5
15	Vitoria Setubal	7	1	2	4	-8	5
16	Pacos Ferreira	8	1	2	5	-10	5
17	Moreirense	9	0	4	5	-7	4
18	Gil Vicente	7	1	1	5	-7	4
19	Aves	10	0	0	10	-16	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.