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Super League
Referee: A Jaccottet
Luzern
U T U T T
1–1
Full-time
Vaduz
U T T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Luzern Vaduz
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,3
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
3,5
3,3
Scored
1,3
1,2
Conceded
2,2
2,2
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-1,0
This season — Super League · 6/5 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,3
0,4
Over 2.5 Ø 62%
83%
40%
Both score Ø 72%
83%
60%
Average goals
3,5
2,6
Scored
1,3
0,8
Conceded
2,2
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

42% Possession 58%
10 Shots 13
4 Shots on target 4
5 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 4
9 Free kicks against 15
4 Yellow cards 3
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Luzern 9. · Vaduz 10. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Lugano 6 3 3 0 +3 12
2 Young Boys 6 3 3 0 +3 12
3 St. Gallen 7 3 2 2 +0 11
4 Zurich 6 3 1 2 +1 10
5 Lausanne 5 2 2 1 +4 8
6 Basel 5 2 1 2 +1 7
7 Servette 4 1 1 2 -1 4
8 Sion 4 0 3 1 -1 3
9 Luzern 6 0 2 4 -5 2
10 Vaduz 5 0 2 3 -5 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Luzern Vaduz
20′
🟨 Manuel Sutter
22′
🟨 Denis Simani
1–0 D. Sorgić ⚽
M. Schulz
31′
Marius Müller 🟨
39′
Half-time 1–0
Àlex Carbonell 🟨
49′
Àlex Carbonell 🟨
50′
Àlex Carbonell 🟥
50′
I. Ndiaye 🔁
↦ D. Sorgić
61′
63′
🔁 B. Prokopič
↦ D. Simani
P. Schürpf 🔁
↦ L. Schaub
74′
77′
🔁 N. Hug
↦ L. Obexer
77′
🔁 M. Di Giusto
↦ M. Coulibaly
87′
⚽ M. Gajić 1–1
Lorik Emini 🟨
90′
90′
🟨 Gabriel Lüchinger
V. Tasar 🔁
↦ T. Ndenge
90′
94′
🔁 J. Schmied
↦ M. Sutter
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Luzern

4-3-3
32 M. Müller G
15 M. Schulz D
4 S. Knežević D
34 S. Sidler D
10 L. Schaub F
13 M. Frýdek D
14 Álex Carbonell M
8 T. Ndenge M
19 F. Ugrinic F
31 L. Emini M
9 D. Sorgić F
Bench (7)
7 I. Ndiaye
11 P. Schürpf
29 V. Tasar
27 C. Schwegler
6 M. Bürki
22 Y. Alounga
1 D. Zibung

Coach: F. Celestini

Vaduz

3-4-1-2
1 B. Büchel G
4 D. Simani D
21 P. Dorn M
15 Y. Schmid D
27 L. Obexer M
6 F. Rahimi D
14 M. Gajić M
30 G. Lüchinger M
10 M. Coulibaly F
9 M. Sutter F
11 T. Çiçek F
Bench (7)
28 B. Prokopič
22 N. Hug
7 M. Di Giusto
5 J. Schmied
18 J. Ospelt
24 C. Gasser
19 D. Đokić

Coach: M. Frick

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
–
U ✓
–
B
–
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
U2,5 ✓
–
U3,5 ✓
–
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
BLS nei
–

Referee

A Jaccottet · 48 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,29 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.