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Super League
Referee: S Horisberger
St. Gallen
S S T T T
1–1
Full-time
Lugano
S S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St. Gallen Lugano
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
33%
83%
Points per game
1,0
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,7
2,7
Scored
0,8
1,8
Conceded
1,8
0,8
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+1,0
This season — Super League · 16/16 matches
Win Ø 41%
25%
56%
Points per game
0,9
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
69%
38%
Both score Ø 60%
69%
50%
Average goals
3,4
2,6
Scored
1,3
1,5
Conceded
2,2
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,9
+0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

58% Possession 42%
13 Shots 10
3 Shots on target 4
3 Blocked shots 0
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
5 Corners 3
1 Offside 5
9 Free kicks against 10
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match St. Gallen 8. · Lugano 3. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Zurich 17 11 4 2 +15 37
2 Basel 15 8 6 1 +19 30
3 Lugano 16 9 2 5 +6 29
4 Young Boys 15 7 4 4 +15 25
5 Grasshoppers 16 5 6 5 +6 21
6 Servette 16 6 3 7 -3 21
7 Sion 16 5 3 8 -12 18
8 St. Gallen 16 4 3 9 -15 15
9 Lausanne 17 2 6 9 -17 12
10 Luzern 16 1 7 8 -14 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

8. Aug -21 Lugano – St. Gallen 2–1 21. Apr -21 Lugano – St. Gallen 2–0 24. Jan -21 St. Gallen – Lugano 0–1 16. Dec -20 St. Gallen – Lugano 0–0 24. Oct -20 Lugano – St. Gallen 1–0

Match report

St. Gallen Lugano
32′
🔁 Yuri
↦ M. Facchinetti
45′
⚽ S. Lovrić 0–1
N. Lavanchy
Half-time 0–1
L. Münst 🔁
↦ B. Babic
46′
Lukas Görtler 🟨
50′
56′
🟨 Fabio Daprelà
K. Duah 🔁
↦ S. Diarrassouba
60′
Víctor Ruiz 🔁
↦ A. Besio
60′
Leonhard Munst 🟨
62′
66′
🔁 M. Amoura
↦ Asumah Abubakar
1–1 P. Sutter ⚽
É. Youan
69′
Euclides Cabral 🔁
↦ P. Sutter
77′
87′
🔁 S. Guidotti
↦ S. Lovrić
93′
🟨 Olivier Custodio
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

St. Gallen

4-3-3
1 L. Ati-Zigi G
4 L. Stergiou D
16 L. Görtler M
8 O. Diakité M
55 S. Diarrassouba M
23 B. Fazliji D
34 B. Babic F
25 B. Traorè D
20 É. Youan F
30 P. Sutter D
31 A. Besio F
Bench (9)
13 L. Münst
11 K. Duah
10 Víctor Ruiz
15 Euclides Cabral
26 T. Staubli
32 D. Jacovic
7 F. Schubert
18 L. Watkowiak
3 M. Nuhu

Coach: P. Zeidler

Lugano

3-4-2-1
46 N. Baumann G
3 R. Ziegler D
5 M. Marić D
30 F. Daprelà D
7 M. Facchinetti M
16 N. Lavanchy M
14 J. Sabbatini M
20 O. Custodio M
24 S. Lovrić F
10 M. Bottani F
17 Asumah Abubakar F
Bench (9)
21 Yuri
6 M. Amoura
22 S. Guidotti
11 K. Monzialo
99 N. Muci
23 L. Srdic
8 C. Lungoyi
58 S. Osigwe
4 K. Hajrizi

Coach: M. Croci-Torti

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
–
🔒
U ✓
–
🔒
B
–
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

S Horisberger · 84 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.