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Bundesliga

Referee: S Gishamer

Sturm Graz

U U S U T

3–1

Full-time

A. Klagenfurt

U S U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sturm Graz A. Klagenfurt

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,5

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

83%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

3,2

3,0

Scored

2,0

1,0

Conceded

1,2

2,0

Goal diff per game

+0,8

-1,0

This season — Bundesliga · 23/23 matches

Win Ø 37%

43%

30%

Points per game

1,6

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 68%

78%

57%

Both score Ø 65%

65%

Average goals

3,4

3,0

Scored

2,0

1,4

Conceded

1,4

1,6

Goal diff per game

+0,6

-0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

55% Possession 45%

21 Shots 8

8 Shots on target 3

6 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 5

5 Corners 7

2 Offside 3

12 Free kicks against 10

1 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sturm Graz 2. · A. Klagenfurt 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Salzburg	23	18	4	1	+38	58
2	Sturm Graz	23	10	7	6	+13	37
3	Wolfsberger AC	23	11	4	8	+1	37
4	Austria Vienna	23	9	9	5	+9	36
5	SK Rapid	23	9	7	7	+6	34
6	A. Klagenfurt	23	7	9	7	-4	30
7	Ried	24	7	8	9	-13	29
8	LASK	23	7	7	9	+5	28
9	Admira	24	5	9	10	-4	24
10	Tirol	24	5	9	10	-18	24
11	Hartberg	23	5	8	10	-6	23
12	Altach	24	4	5	15	-27	17

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Salzburg	12	11	1	0	+29	34
2	Ried	12	6	5	1	+5	23
3	Wolfsberger AC	11	7	1	3	+6	22
4	Austria Vienna	12	5	5	2	+6	20
5	Sturm Graz	11	5	4	2	+7	19
6	SK Rapid	11	6	1	4	+7	19
7	A. Klagenfurt	12	4	6	2	+0	18
8	LASK	12	4	4	4	+6	16
9	Tirol	12	2	7	3	+1	13
10	Admira	12	3	2	7	-1	11
11	Hartberg	11	2	4	5	-4	10
12	Altach	12	1	3	8	-15	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Salzburg	11	7	3	1	+9	24
2	Sturm Graz	12	5	3	4	+6	18
3	Austria Vienna	11	4	4	3	+3	16
4	SK Rapid	12	3	6	3	-1	15
5	Wolfsberger AC	12	4	3	5	-5	15
6	Hartberg	12	3	4	5	-2	13
7	Admira	12	2	7	3	-3	13
8	LASK	11	3	3	5	-1	12
9	A. Klagenfurt	11	3	3	5	-4	12
10	Altach	12	3	2	7	-12	11
11	Tirol	12	3	2	7	-19	11
12	Ried	12	1	3	8	-18	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.