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Eredivisie

Referee: R Dieperink

Willem II

T T T U T

2–2

Full-time

AZ Alkmaar

S S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Willem II AZ Alkmaar

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

17%

83%

Points per game

0,7

2,5

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

17%

83%

Both score Ø 50%

17%

83%

Average goals

1,3

3,2

Scored

0,5

2,2

Conceded

0,8

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+1,2

This season — Eredivisie · 26/24 matches

Win Ø 43%

23%

63%

Points per game

0,8

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 61%

50%

71%

Both score Ø 55%

42%

67%

Average goals

2,5

3,2

Scored

0,8

2,0

Conceded

1,7

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,9

+0,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

25% Possession 75%

5 Shots 22

2 Shots on target 5

2 Blocked shots 6

3 Goalkeeper saves 0

1 Corners 8

3 Offside 0

5 Free kicks against 11

0 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Willem II 15. · AZ Alkmaar 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	27	21	3	3	+67	66
2	PSV Eindhoven	27	21	1	5	+37	64
3	Feyenoord	27	17	4	6	+34	55
4	Twente	27	16	6	5	+11	54
5	AZ Alkmaar	24	15	2	7	+18	47
6	Utrecht	25	11	6	8	+9	39
7	Groningen	27	9	9	9	-2	36
8	Vitesse	23	11	3	9	-8	36
9	Cambuur	27	10	3	14	-15	33
10	Nijmegen	27	8	8	11	-10	32
11	Heerenveen	26	8	6	12	-10	30
12	Go Ahead Eagles	27	8	6	13	-13	30
13	Heracles	27	7	6	14	-10	27
14	Waalwijk	27	6	9	12	-13	27
15	Willem II	26	6	4	16	-23	22
16	For Sittard	26	6	4	16	-32	22
17	Sparta Rotterdam	25	4	9	12	-18	21
18	Zwolle	27	5	5	17	-22	20

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	14	11	1	2	+45	34
2	PSV Eindhoven	14	11	0	3	+22	33
3	Feyenoord	13	9	2	2	+20	29
4	AZ Alkmaar	13	9	2	2	+15	29
5	Twente	13	8	4	1	+11	28
6	Heracles	14	7	4	3	+6	25
7	Utrecht	13	7	3	3	+11	24
8	Go Ahead Eagles	14	6	1	7	-1	19
9	Groningen	13	4	6	3	+2	18
10	Cambuur	13	5	1	7	-4	16
11	Heerenveen	13	4	2	7	-5	14
12	Sparta Rotterdam	14	3	5	6	-7	14
13	Willem II	13	4	2	7	-8	14
14	For Sittard	12	4	2	6	-10	14
15	Waalwijk	13	4	2	7	-10	14
16	Vitesse	11	4	1	6	-9	13
17	Nijmegen	13	2	5	6	-6	11
18	Zwolle	13	2	4	7	-6	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	13	10	2	1	+22	32
2	PSV Eindhoven	13	10	1	2	+15	31
3	Feyenoord	14	8	2	4	+14	26
4	Twente	14	8	2	4	+0	26
5	Vitesse	12	7	2	3	+1	23
6	Nijmegen	14	6	3	5	-4	21
7	AZ Alkmaar	11	6	0	5	+3	18
8	Groningen	14	5	3	6	-4	18
9	Cambuur	14	5	2	7	-11	17
10	Heerenveen	13	4	4	5	-5	16
11	Utrecht	12	4	3	5	-2	15
12	Waalwijk	14	2	7	5	-3	13
13	Go Ahead Eagles	13	2	5	6	-12	11
14	Zwolle	14	3	1	10	-16	10
15	Willem II	13	2	2	9	-15	8
16	For Sittard	14	2	2	10	-22	8
17	Sparta Rotterdam	11	1	4	6	-11	7
18	Heracles	13	0	2	11	-16	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.