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2. Bundesliga
Holstein Kiel
S T T T T
1–0
Full-time
Ingolstadt
U U T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Holstein Kiel Ingolstadt
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,0
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
3,7
2,8
Scored
1,5
1,2
Conceded
2,2
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-0,5
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 26/26 matches
Win Ø 22%
31%
12%
Points per game
1,2
0,6
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
69%
65%
Both score Ø 54%
62%
46%
Average goals
3,1
2,8
Scored
1,3
0,8
Conceded
1,7
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,4
-1,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

21 Shots 17
4 Shots on target 4
5 Corners 4
12 Free kicks against 18
1 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Holstein Kiel 13. · Ingolstadt 18.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 St Pauli 27 15 6 6 +16 51
2 Werder Bremen 27 15 6 6 +15 51
3 Darmstadt 27 14 6 7 +19 48
4 Schalke 04 27 14 5 8 +21 47
5 Nurnberg 26 13 6 7 +6 45
6 Hamburg 26 10 12 4 +19 42
7 Heidenheim 27 12 6 9 -1 42
8 Paderborn 26 9 10 7 +9 37
9 Karlsruhe 27 9 10 8 +6 37
10 Hansa Rostock 27 9 7 11 -8 34
11 Regensburg 26 9 6 11 +4 33
12 Fortuna Dusseldorf 27 8 8 11 -1 32
13 Holstein Kiel 26 8 7 11 -10 31
14 Hannover 27 8 7 12 -15 31
15 Sandhausen 27 7 9 11 -14 30
16 Dresden 26 7 6 13 -10 27
17 Erzgebirge Aue 26 4 7 15 -27 19
18 Ingolstadt 26 3 6 17 -29 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,69
U
3,92
B
4,65
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,71
U2,5 ✓
2,12
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.