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Eredivisie

Referee: D Makkelie

Ajax

S S T S S

3–2

Full-time

Feyenoord

S S T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ajax Feyenoord

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 75%

83%

67%

Points per game

2,5

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

83%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

3,7

3,0

Scored

2,7

2,2

Conceded

1,0

0,8

Goal diff per game

+1,7

+1,3

This season — Eredivisie · 26/26 matches

Win Ø 71%

77%

65%

Points per game

2,4

2,1

Over 2.5 Ø 65%

65%

Both score Ø 37%

23%

50%

Average goals

3,4

3,2

Scored

3,0

2,3

Conceded

0,4

0,9

Goal diff per game

+2,5

+1,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

66% Possession 34%

17 Shots 14

8 Shots on target 4

2 Blocked shots 7

2 Goalkeeper saves 5

4 Corners 4

13 Free kicks against 14

3 Yellow cards 0

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Ajax 1. · Feyenoord 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	26	20	3	3	+66	63
2	PSV Eindhoven	26	20	1	5	+32	61
3	Feyenoord	26	17	4	5	+35	55
4	Twente	27	16	6	5	+11	54
5	AZ Alkmaar	24	15	2	7	+18	47
6	Utrecht	25	11	6	8	+9	39
7	Groningen	27	9	9	9	-2	36
8	Vitesse	22	11	3	8	-7	36
9	Cambuur	27	10	3	14	-15	33
10	Nijmegen	27	8	8	11	-10	32
11	Heerenveen	26	8	6	12	-10	30
12	Go Ahead Eagles	27	8	6	13	-13	30
13	Heracles	27	7	6	14	-10	27
14	Waalwijk	26	5	9	12	-14	24
15	Willem II	26	6	4	16	-23	22
16	For Sittard	25	6	4	15	-27	22
17	Sparta Rotterdam	25	4	9	12	-18	21
18	Zwolle	27	5	5	17	-22	20

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	13	10	1	2	+44	31
2	PSV Eindhoven	13	10	0	3	+17	30
3	Feyenoord	13	9	2	2	+20	29
4	AZ Alkmaar	13	9	2	2	+15	29
5	Twente	13	8	4	1	+11	28
6	Heracles	14	7	4	3	+6	25
7	Utrecht	13	7	3	3	+11	24
8	Go Ahead Eagles	14	6	1	7	-1	19
9	Groningen	13	4	6	3	+2	18
10	Cambuur	13	5	1	7	-4	16
11	Heerenveen	13	4	2	7	-5	14
12	Sparta Rotterdam	14	3	5	6	-7	14
13	Willem II	13	4	2	7	-8	14
14	For Sittard	12	4	2	6	-10	14
15	Waalwijk	13	4	2	7	-10	14
16	Vitesse	10	4	1	5	-8	13
17	Nijmegen	13	2	5	6	-6	11
18	Zwolle	13	2	4	7	-6	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	13	10	2	1	+22	32
2	PSV Eindhoven	13	10	1	2	+15	31
3	Feyenoord	13	8	2	3	+15	26
4	Twente	14	8	2	4	+0	26
5	Vitesse	12	7	2	3	+1	23
6	Nijmegen	14	6	3	5	-4	21
7	AZ Alkmaar	11	6	0	5	+3	18
8	Groningen	14	5	3	6	-4	18
9	Cambuur	14	5	2	7	-11	17
10	Heerenveen	13	4	4	5	-5	16
11	Utrecht	12	4	3	5	-2	15
12	Go Ahead Eagles	13	2	5	6	-12	11
13	Waalwijk	13	1	7	5	-4	10
14	Zwolle	14	3	1	10	-16	10
15	Willem II	13	2	2	9	-15	8
16	For Sittard	13	2	2	9	-17	8
17	Sparta Rotterdam	11	1	4	6	-11	7
18	Heracles	13	0	2	11	-16	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.