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Super League
Referee: S Horisberger
Sion
T S S T U
2–0
Full-time
Luzern
S T S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sion Luzern
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
4,0
3,3
Scored
1,8
1,8
Conceded
2,2
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,3
This season — Super League · 10/9 matches
Win Ø 37%
40%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 62%
80%
44%
Both score Ø 58%
60%
56%
Average goals
3,5
2,8
Scored
1,7
1,6
Conceded
1,8
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,1
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

47% Possession 53%
7 Shots 14
2 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 2
4 Goalkeeper saves 0
3 Corners 2
1 Offside 3
15 Free kicks against 9
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sion 5. · Luzern 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Young Boys 10 7 2 1 +18 23
2 Servette 10 5 3 2 +3 18
3 St. Gallen 10 5 0 5 +4 15
4 Lugano 10 5 0 5 +1 15
5 Sion 10 4 3 3 -1 15
6 Grasshoppers 10 3 5 2 -1 14
7 Basel 9 3 3 3 +3 12
8 Luzern 9 3 3 3 +3 12
9 Winterthur 10 1 3 6 -17 6
10 Zurich 10 0 4 6 -13 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sion Luzern
1–0 M. Balotelli
L. Zuffi
33′
42′
🔁 D. Sorgić
↦ J. Kadák
Half-time 1–0
D. Poha 🔁
↦ F. Moubandje
57′
Mario Balotelli 🟨
64′
66′
🔁 J. Ardaiz
↦ Asumah Abubakar
66′
🔁 P. Schürpf
↦ P. Dorn
68′
🟨 Nicky Medja Beloko
72′
ℹ️ Dejan Sorgić
VAR: Goal cancelled
I. Chouaref 🔁
↦ F. Stojilković
73′
K. Halabaku 🔁
↦ M. Balotelli
74′
Itaitinga 🔁
↦ G. Sio
74′
79′
🟨 Denis Simani
80′
🔁 S. Campo
↦ N. Beloko
80′
🔁 T. Klidjé
↦ S. Chader
2–0 M. Araz
K. Halabaku
83′
D. Iapichino 🔁
↦ L. Zuffi
96′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Sion

3-1-4-2
1 H. Lindner G
2 J. Schmied D
39 N. Saintini D
90 F. Moubandje D
14 A. Grgić M
13 G. Sio M
20 M. Araz M
7 L. Zuffi M
8 Baltazar Costa M
45 M. Balotelli F
17 F. Stojilković F
Bench (9)
22 D. Poha
9 I. Chouaref
29 K. Halabaku
76 Itaitinga
21 D. Iapichino
11 G. Karlen
71 G. Richard
33 K. Bua
18 K. Fickentscher

Coach: P. Tramezzani

Luzern

4-3-1-2
1 M. Müller G
2 M. Dräger D
5 D. Simani D
46 M. Burch D
13 M. Frýdek D
18 N. Beloko M
6 A. Jashari M
20 P. Dorn M
16 J. Kadák M
69 S. Chader F
21 Asumah Abubakar F
Bench (9)
9 D. Sorgić
19 J. Ardaiz
11 P. Schürpf
10 S. Campo
17 T. Klidjé
31 L. Emini
4 C. Gentner
30 I. Beka
38 P. Loretz

Coach: M. Frick

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

S Horisberger · 84 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.