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Super League

Referee: S Wolfensberger

Basel

S U U U S

0–2

Full-time

Luzern

S T T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Basel Luzern

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

2,7

Scored

1,3

1,5

Conceded

1,3

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Super League · 28/28 matches

Win Ø 33%

29%

36%

Points per game

1,3

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 47%

39%

54%

Both score Ø 61%

57%

64%

Average goals

2,5

2,9

Scored

1,3

1,5

Conceded

1,2

1,4

Goal diff per game

+0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

53% Possession 47%

4 Shots 10

0 Shots on target 5

2 Blocked shots 1

3 Goalkeeper saves 0

2 Corners 7

16 Free kicks against 16

3 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Basel 7. · Luzern 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Young Boys	29	17	10	2	+48	61
2	Servette	29	9	14	6	-5	41
3	Luzern	28	10	9	9	+4	39
4	Lugano	28	9	10	9	+1	37
5	Grasshoppers	29	10	7	12	-5	37
6	St. Gallen	28	9	9	10	+9	36
7	Basel	28	8	12	8	+4	36
8	Zurich	28	6	12	10	-15	30
9	Sion	28	7	9	12	-16	30
10	Winterthur	29	7	8	14	-25	29

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Young Boys	15	12	3	0	+38	39
2	Servette	14	6	7	1	+6	25
3	St. Gallen	14	6	6	2	+10	24
4	Grasshoppers	14	7	2	5	+2	23
5	Basel	14	5	7	2	+8	22
6	Lugano	14	5	5	4	+2	20
7	Winterthur	15	5	4	6	-11	19
8	Luzern	14	4	5	5	+1	17
9	Zurich	14	3	7	4	-4	16
10	Sion	14	2	4	8	-15	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Young Boys	14	5	7	2	+10	22
2	Luzern	14	6	4	4	+3	22
3	Sion	14	5	5	4	-1	20
4	Lugano	14	4	5	5	-1	17
5	Servette	15	3	7	5	-11	16
6	Basel	14	3	5	6	-4	14
7	Grasshoppers	15	3	5	7	-7	14
8	Zurich	14	3	5	6	-11	14
9	St. Gallen	14	3	3	8	-1	12
10	Winterthur	14	2	4	8	-14	10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.