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Super League

Referee: J von Mandach

St. Gallen

T S T S S

4–2

Full-time

Winterthur

T T S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St. Gallen Winterthur

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

67%

17%

Points per game

2,0

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 83%

83%

Both score Ø 84%

67%

100%

Average goals

3,7

4,0

Scored

2,5

1,7

Conceded

1,2

2,3

Goal diff per game

+1,3

-0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Super League · 13/13 matches

Win Ø 43%

54%

31%

Points per game

1,8

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 70%

62%

77%

Both score Ø 85%

77%

92%

Average goals

2,9

4,2

Scored

1,8

1,9

Conceded

1,1

2,2

Goal diff per game

+0,8

-0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–1

2,50 xG 2,24

46% Possession 54%

15 Shots 16

11 Shots on target 7

1 Blocked shots 5

4 Goalkeeper saves 6

4 Corners 7

1 Offside 4

19 Free kicks against 11

7 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match St. Gallen 3. · Winterthur 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Young Boys	12	7	4	1	+14	+1.1	25
2	Zurich	13	6	6	1	+11	-1.7	24
3	St. Gallen	13	7	3	3	+10	+7.2	24
4	Servette	13	6	4	3	+3	+5.7	22
5	Luzern	13	6	3	4	+0	+1.2	21
6	Lugano	12	5	1	6	+0	+3.4	16
7	Winterthur	13	4	4	5	-4	+0.3	16
8	Yverdon	13	4	4	5	-6	-4.3	16
9	Lausanne	13	4	3	6	+0	+2.0	15
10	Grasshoppers	13	3	2	8	-6	-3.7	11
11	Lausanne Ouchy	12	2	4	6	-11	-4.3	10
12	Basel	12	2	2	8	-11	-6.8	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	St. Gallen	6	6	0	0	+10	+2.4	18
2	Luzern	7	5	1	1	+4	+2.5	16
3	Zurich	7	4	2	1	+5	-2.5	14
4	Young Boys	5	4	1	0	+10	+1.4	13
5	Lausanne	7	3	2	2	+3	+1.9	11
6	Yverdon	6	3	2	1	+2	+0.1	11
7	Winterthur	7	3	2	2	+0	+1.3	11
8	Lugano	5	3	1	1	+6	+2.3	10
9	Servette	6	2	3	1	+2	+0.7	9
10	Basel	7	2	2	3	-1	-3.8	8
11	Grasshoppers	6	2	1	3	-1	-2.1	7
12	Lausanne Ouchy	7	1	3	3	-8	-1.7	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Servette	7	4	1	2	+1	+5.0	13
2	Young Boys	7	3	3	1	+4	-0.3	12
3	Zurich	6	2	4	0	+6	+0.8	10
4	St. Gallen	7	1	3	3	+0	+4.8	6
5	Lugano	7	2	0	5	-6	+1.1	6
6	Winterthur	6	1	2	3	-4	-1.0	5
7	Luzern	6	1	2	3	-4	-1.3	5
8	Yverdon	7	1	2	4	-8	-4.4	5
9	Lausanne	6	1	1	4	-3	+0.1	4
10	Lausanne Ouchy	5	1	1	3	-3	-2.6	4
11	Grasshoppers	7	1	1	5	-5	-1.6	4
12	Basel	5	0	0	5	-10	-3.0	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.