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Serie B

Referee: L Pairetto

Lecco

T S S U U

3–2

Full-time

Parma

T S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lecco Parma

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 58%

33%

83%

Points per game

1,3

2,5

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

50%

83%

Both score Ø 67%

50%

83%

Average goals

2,2

3,8

Scored

0,8

2,5

Conceded

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+1,2

This season — Serie B · 11/12 matches

Win Ø 47%

18%

75%

Points per game

0,8

2,4

Over 2.5 Ø 57%

55%

58%

Both score Ø 57%

55%

58%

Average goals

2,5

2,8

Scored

0,9

2,1

Conceded

1,6

0,8

Goal diff per game

-0,7

+1,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

47% Possession 53%

16 Shots 12

7 Shots on target 7

3 Blocked shots 1

5 Goalkeeper saves 4

5 Corners 3

2 Offside 2

10 Free kicks against 13

3 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Lecco 17. · Parma 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Parma	12	9	2	1	+16	29
2	Venezia	13	8	3	2	+8	27
3	Palermo	12	7	2	3	+9	23
4	Modena	13	6	4	3	+1	22
5	Catanzaro	13	6	3	4	+2	21
6	Como	12	6	3	3	+2	21
7	Cosenza	13	5	4	4	+5	19
8	Cremonese	12	5	4	3	+5	19
9	Bari	13	3	9	1	+2	18
10	Sudtirol	12	4	4	4	+2	16
11	Pisa	13	4	4	5	-1	16
12	Cittadella	12	4	4	4	-3	16
13	Sampdoria	13	4	3	6	-2	15
14	Reggiana	13	3	6	4	-3	15
15	Brescia	11	3	4	4	+0	13
16	Ascoli	13	3	3	7	-4	12
17	Lecco	11	2	3	6	-8	9
18	Spezia	12	1	6	5	-8	9
19	FeralpiSalo	13	1	4	8	-17	7
20	Ternana	12	1	3	8	-6	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Parma	7	5	2	0	+8	17
2	Venezia	7	5	1	1	+5	16
3	Cosenza	7	3	2	2	+6	11
4	Cittadella	7	3	2	2	-1	11
5	Palermo	6	3	1	2	+3	10
6	Catanzaro	6	3	1	2	+1	10
7	Como	5	3	1	1	+1	10
8	Modena	7	3	1	3	-2	10
9	Sudtirol	6	2	2	2	+2	8
10	Bari	6	1	5	0	+1	8
11	Ascoli	6	2	1	3	+1	7
12	Reggiana	6	1	4	1	-1	7
13	Cremonese	7	1	3	3	+0	6
14	Brescia	6	1	3	2	-1	6
15	Sampdoria	6	2	0	4	-2	6
16	Ternana	7	1	2	4	-1	5
17	Pisa	6	1	2	3	-2	5
18	Spezia	5	0	3	2	-2	3
19	FeralpiSalo	6	0	2	4	-7	2
20	Lecco	5	0	1	4	-6	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Palermo	6	4	1	1	+6	13
2	Cremonese	5	4	1	0	+5	13
3	Parma	5	4	0	1	+8	12
4	Modena	6	3	3	0	+3	12
5	Venezia	6	3	2	1	+3	11
6	Catanzaro	7	3	2	2	+1	11
7	Como	7	3	2	2	+1	11
8	Pisa	7	3	2	2	+1	11
9	Bari	7	2	4	1	+1	10
10	Sampdoria	7	2	3	2	+0	9
11	Sudtirol	6	2	2	2	+0	8
12	Cosenza	6	2	2	2	-1	8
13	Reggiana	7	2	2	3	-2	8
14	Lecco	6	2	2	2	-2	8
15	Brescia	5	2	1	2	+1	7
16	Spezia	7	1	3	3	-6	6
17	Cittadella	5	1	2	2	-2	5
18	Ascoli	7	1	2	4	-5	5
19	FeralpiSalo	7	1	2	4	-10	5
20	Ternana	5	0	1	4	-5	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.