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Allsvenskan
Referee: G Maqedonci
Varberg
T T T U T
1–2
Full-time
Goteborg
U T T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Varberg Goteborg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
0%
17%
Points per game
0,2
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,2
2,2
Scored
0,8
0,8
Conceded
2,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
-1,5
-0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Allsvenskan · 29/29 matches
Win Ø 17%
10%
24%
Points per game
0,5
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 49%
59%
38%
Both score Ø 47%
45%
48%
Average goals
3,1
2,3
Scored
0,9
1,1
Conceded
2,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
-1,4
-0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,34 xG 2,90
43% Possession 57%
15 Shots 14
5 Shots on target 5
6 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
4 Corners 9
2 Offside 5
20 Free kicks against 10
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Varberg 16. · Goteborg 13.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Elfsborg 29 20 4 5 +34 +6.6 64
2 Malmo FF 29 19 4 6 +34 +10.4 61
3 Hacken 29 18 3 8 +31 +7.7 57
4 Djurgarden 29 15 5 9 +6 +2.6 50
5 Varnamo 29 14 3 12 +5 +0.8 45
6 Hammarby 29 11 10 8 +2 +1.3 43
7 Kalmar 29 12 6 11 -6 -5.4 42
8 Norrkoping 29 12 5 12 +2 +3.2 41
9 Sirius 29 11 6 12 +5 +7.9 39
10 Mjallby 29 11 5 13 -3 -2.9 38
11 Halmstad 29 9 8 12 -14 -5.2 35
12 AIK 29 8 9 12 -6 -0.0 33
13 Goteborg 29 7 10 12 -5 -0.3 31
14 Brommapojkarna 29 9 3 17 -14 -2.2 30
15 Degerfors 29 7 5 17 -31 -11.8 26
16 Varberg 29 3 6 20 -40 -12.7 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Varberg Goteborg
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 A. Selmani
↦ S. Hausner
Robin Tranberg 🟨
49′
60′
🔁 H. Carneil
↦ G. Norlin
63′
🟨 Kolbeinn Thordarson
1–0 H. Zackrisson
I. Lushaku
64′
72′
🔁 S. Ohlsson
↦ K. Þórðarson
74′
L. Kåhed 1–1
H. Carneil
78′
🟨 Oscar Wendt
V. Rönnberg 🔁
↦ R. Tranberg
81′
85′
🔁 A. Carlén
↦ L. Kåhed
O. Silverholt 🔁
↦ A. Kurochkin
90′
95′
A. Carlén 1–2
A. Muçolli
K. Hoven 🔁
↦ M. Borchers
97′
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Varberg

4-2-3-1
29 F. Andersson G
5 Vinícius Nogueira D
40 N. Dahlström D
3 H. Zackrisson D
38 Ó. Sverrisson D
7 R. Tranberg M
10 I. Lushaku M
21 V. Karlsson M
37 D. Krasniqi M
9 A. Kurochkin M
17 M. Borchers F
Bench (9)
12 V. Rönnberg
19 K. Hoven
20 O. Silverholt
16 A. Marić
1 D. Olsson
39 Y. El Ouatki
22 L. Frigell Jansson
45 M. Sainte
6 Filipe Sissé

Coach: M. Skogman

Goteborg

4-3-3
1 P. Dahlberg G
2 E. Salomonsson D
13 G. Svensson D
15 S. Hausner D
17 O. Wendt D
23 K. Þórðarson M
7 S. Eriksson M
28 L. Kåhed M
29 T. Santos F
14 G. Norlin F
19 A. Muçolli F
Bench (9)
22 A. Selmani
10 H. Carneil
5 S. Ohlsson
21 A. Carlén
18 F. Eriksson
3 J. Bångsbo
24 A. Salaou
16 L. Carlstrand
12 A. Benediktsson

Coach: J. Askou

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

G Maqedonci · 83 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,8 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.