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Super League
Referee: L Fähndrich
Luzern
T S S S T
0–1
Full-time
Zurich
U T U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Luzern Zurich
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,5
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,3
2,0
Scored
1,3
0,7
Conceded
1,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Super League · 23/23 matches
Win Ø 41%
43%
39%
Points per game
1,5
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
57%
57%
Both score Ø 59%
65%
52%
Average goals
2,9
2,6
Scored
1,4
1,5
Conceded
1,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,1
+0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,66 xG 1,08
34% Possession 66%
9 Shots 17
4 Shots on target 6
2 Blocked shots 5
5 Goalkeeper saves 4
3 Corners 5
2 Offside 1
8 Free kicks against 21
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Luzern 6. · Zurich 4. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Young Boys 24 15 6 3 +29 +2.6 51
2 Servette 23 11 8 4 +12 +13.9 41
3 St. Gallen 24 11 4 9 +6 +10.6 37
4 Zurich 23 9 9 5 +11 +2.3 36
5 Lugano 23 10 4 9 +5 +5.5 34
6 Luzern 23 10 4 9 -2 +1.7 34
7 Winterthur 24 9 6 9 -5 -4.2 33
8 Yverdon 24 8 6 10 -16 -11.1 30
9 Grasshoppers 24 8 4 12 +0 -6.0 28
10 Basel 24 8 4 12 -8 -7.5 28
11 Lausanne 24 6 7 11 -6 +3.7 25
12 Lausanne Ouchy 24 3 6 15 -26 -11.5 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Luzern Zurich
15′
🟨 Calixte Ligue
Half-time 0–0
Nicky Medja Beloko 🟨
57′
59′
🔁 A. Oko-Flex
↦ F. Rohner
59′
🔁 D. Afriyie
↦ C. Ligue
Leny Meyer 🟨
61′
L. Winkler 🔁
↦ N. Beloko
62′
S. Chader 🔁
↦ T. Okou
62′
M. Frýdek 🔁
↦ L. Meyer
62′
L. Villiger 🔁
↦ T. Klidje
75′
75′
🔁 A. Dante
↦ N. Boranijašević
M. Willimann 🔁
↦ D. Simani
82′
90′
⚽ A. Marchesano 0–1
91′
🔁 C. Tsawa
↦ A. Marchesano
91′
🔁 N. Reichmuth
↦ J. Okita
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Luzern

3-1-4-2
1 P. Loretz G
4 L. Jaquez D
3 J. Löfgren D
5 D. Simani D
6 A. Jashari M
22 D. Ulrich M
32 N. Haas M
18 N. Beloko M
33 L. Meyer M
17 T. Klidje F
11 T. Okou F
Bench (8)
29 L. Winkler
69 S. Chader
13 M. Frýdek
27 L. Villiger
23 M. Willimann
16 J. Kadák
41 N. Rupp
90 V. Vasić

Coach: M. Frick

Zurich

4-2-3-1
25 Y. Brecher G
19 N. Boranijašević D
2 L. Kamberi D
31 M. Kryeziu D
27 Rodrigo Conceição D
12 I. Mathew M
7 B. Krasniqi M
23 F. Rohner M
10 A. Marchesano M
11 J. Okita M
20 C. Ligue F
Bench (9)
22 A. Oko-Flex
18 D. Afriyie
44 A. Dante
36 C. Tsawa
37 N. Reichmuth
16 M. Hornschuh
1 Ž. Kostadinović
4 S. Wallner
9 I. Santini

Coach: M. Ural

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
–
U
–
B ✓
–
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
–
U2,5 ✓
–
U3,5 ✓
–
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
BLS nei ✓
–

Referee

L Fähndrich · 124 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.