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Super League
Referee: L Fähndrich
Basel
U T T S S
2–0
Full-time
Yverdon
U T T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Basel Yverdon
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,7
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
3,0
2,5
Scored
2,2
1,2
Conceded
0,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
+1,3
-0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Super League · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 25%
50%
0%
Points per game
1,5
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
100%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
4,3
2,8
Scored
3,0
1,0
Conceded
1,3
1,8
Goal diff per game
+1,8
-0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

2,18 xG 1,29
57% Possession 43%
21 Shots 5
8 Shots on target 2
5 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 6
4 Corners 2
3 Offside 0
12 Free kicks against 12
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Basel 7. · Yverdon 11.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Zurich 4 3 1 0 +6 +1.7 10
2 Luzern 5 3 1 1 +4 -0.6 10
3 St. Gallen 4 3 0 1 +5 -0.8 9
4 Sion 5 3 0 2 +4 +2.9 9
5 Lugano 4 3 0 1 +3 +1.0 9
6 Servette 5 3 0 2 -4 -2.0 9
7 Basel 4 2 0 2 +7 +3.0 6
8 Grasshoppers 5 1 1 3 -3 +0.8 4
9 Winterthur 5 1 1 3 -6 -4.1 4
10 Lausanne 4 1 0 3 -6 -1.0 3
11 Yverdon 4 0 2 2 -3 -0.4 2
12 Young Boys 5 0 2 3 -7 -0.5 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Basel Yverdon
1–0 A. Ajeti
D. Schmid
8′
40′
🟨 Hugo Komano
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 H. Loucif
↦ D. Kacuri
49′
🟨 Fode Sylla
2–0 B. Fink
D. Schmid
55′
61′
🔁 R. Alves
↦ F. Sylla
61′
🔁 J. Hautier
↦ H. Loucif
X. Shaqiri 🔁
↦ B. Fink
66′
J. Gauto 🔁
↦ B. Kololli
66′
66′
🔁 M. Tijani
↦ F. González
M. Šotiček 🔁
↦ B. Traoré
76′
F. Frei 🔁
↦ L. Leroy
76′
T. Xhaka 🔁
↦ L. Avdullahu
86′
86′
🔁 A. Avdić
↦ H. Komano
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Basel

3-4-3
1 M. Hitz G
26 A. Barišić D
32 J. Adjetey D
25 F. van Breemen D
7 B. Kololli M
37 L. Avdullahu M
22 L. Leroy M
31 D. Schmid M
14 B. Fink F
23 A. Ajeti F
11 B. Traoré F
Bench (9)
10 X. Shaqiri
33 J. Gauto
19 M. Šotiček
20 F. Frei
34 T. Xhaka
6 M. Dräger
13 M. Salvi
43 M. Akahomen
3 N. Vouilloz

Coach: F. Celestini

Yverdon

4-3-3
40 P. Bernardoni G
32 A. Sauthier D
25 Christian Marques D
24 J. Gnakpa D
3 D. Kamenović D
70 D. Kacuri M
10 B. Céspedes M
37 F. Sylla M
15 F. González F
21 H. Komano F
9 M. Aké F
Bench (9)
12 H. Loucif
17 R. Alves
20 J. Hautier
2 M. Tijani
77 A. Avdić
22 K. Martin
41 S. Kone
88 L. Guignard
8 V. Vidaković

Coach: A. Mangiarratti

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

L Fähndrich · 128 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.