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Bundesliga
Referee: D Siebert
Wolfsburg
S S T T S
2–3
Full-time
Bayern Munich
T T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Wolfsburg Bayern Munich
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,0
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,3
3,8
Scored
1,3
2,0
Conceded
1,0
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

1,97 xG 2,42
29% Possession 71%
11 Shots 14
2 Shots on target 8
2 Blocked shots 5
6 Goalkeeper saves 0
1 Corners 7
3 Offside 1
13 Free kicks against 11
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

12. May -24 Bayern Munich – Wolfsburg 2–0 20. Dec -23 Wolfsburg – Bayern Munich 1–2 5. Feb -23 Wolfsburg – Bayern Munich 2–4 14. Aug -22 Bayern Munich – Wolfsburg 2–0 14. May -22 Wolfsburg – Bayern Munich 2–2

Match report

Wolfsburg Bayern Munich
19′
⚽ J. Musiala 0–1
S. Boey
31′
🟨 Harry Kane
Half-time 0–1
46′
🟨 Sacha Boey
1–1 L. Majer ⚽
47′
2–1 L. Majer ⚽
P. Wimmer
55′
65′
🔁 T. Müller
↦ S. Boey
65′
⚽ J. Kamiński 3–1
own goal
70′
🟨 Jamal Musiala
Mattias Svanberg 🟨
71′
K. Behrens 🔁
↦ P. Wimmer
71′
75′
🔁 K. Coman
↦ M. Olise
Y. Gerhardt 🔁
↦ L. Majer
78′
81′
🔁 E. Dier
↦ Kim Min-Jae
Cedric Zesiger 🟨
82′
82′
⚽ S. Gnabry 3–2
H. Kane
J. Wind 🔁
↦ M. Svanberg
85′
Full-time 3–2

Line-ups

Wolfsburg

4-2-3-1
1 K. Grabara G
2 K. Fischer D
3 S. Bornauw D
5 C. Zesiger D
16 J. Kamiński D
27 M. Arnold M
32 M. Svanberg M
20 R. Baku M
19 L. Majer M
11 Tiago Tomás M
39 P. Wimmer F
Bench (9)
17 K. Behrens
31 Y. Gerhardt
23 J. Wind
33 D. Odogu
29 M. Müller
8 N. Cozza
37 J. Akaegbobi
38 B. Bröger
24 B. Dárdai

Coach: R. Hasenhüttl

Bayern Munich

4-2-3-1
1 M. Neuer G
23 S. Boey D
3 Kim Min-Jae D
2 D. Upamecano D
19 A. Davies D
6 J. Kimmich M
45 A. Pavlović M
17 M. Olise M
42 J. Musiala M
7 S. Gnabry M
9 H. Kane F
Bench (9)
25 T. Müller
11 K. Coman
15 E. Dier
26 S. Ulreich
22 Raphaël Guerreiro
39 M. Tel
8 L. Goretzka
16 João Palhinha
27 K. Laimer

Coach: V. Kompany

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
6,32
🔒
U
4,93
🔒
B ✓
1,46
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
1,44
🔒
U2,5
2,76
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

D Siebert · 158 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.