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Serie B

Referee: V Crezzini

Mantova

S T U

3–2

Full-time

Cosenza

S U U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Mantova Cosenza

Last 6 — all competitions · 3/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,3

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

100%

33%

Both score Ø 75%

100%

50%

Average goals

3,3

2,5

Scored

1,7

1,5

Conceded

1,7

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+0,5

This season — Serie B · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 50%

100%

Points per game

1,0

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

100%

Both score Ø 50%

100%

Average goals

4,0

1,0

Scored

2,0

1,0

Conceded

2,0

0,0

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

54% Possession 46%

9 Shots 22

6 Shots on target 10

3 Blocked shots 2

8 Goalkeeper saves 3

7 Corners 5

3 Offside 1

23 Free kicks against 7

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Mantova 14. · Cosenza 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sudtirol	2	2	0	0	+2	6
2	Pisa	2	1	1	0	+2	4
3	Spezia	2	1	1	0	+1	4
4	Reggiana	2	1	1	0	+1	4
5	Sassuolo	2	1	1	0	+1	4
6	Juve Stabia	1	1	0	0	+2	3
7	Cosenza	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Salernitana	2	1	0	1	+0	3
9	Cesena	2	1	0	1	+0	3
10	Modena	2	1	0	1	+0	3
11	Cittadella	2	1	0	1	+0	3
12	Brescia	2	1	0	1	+0	3
13	Cremonese	2	1	0	1	+0	3
14	Mantova	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Catanzaro	1	0	1	0	+0	1
16	Frosinone	2	0	1	1	-1	1
17	Sampdoria	2	0	1	1	-1	1
18	Carrarese	2	0	0	2	-2	0
19	Bari	2	0	0	2	-3	0
20	Palermo	2	0	0	2	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sudtirol	2	2	0	0	+2	6
2	Pisa	2	1	1	0	+2	4
3	Sassuolo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
4	Spezia	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Salernitana	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Modena	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Cesena	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Cremonese	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Cosenza	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Brescia	2	1	0	1	+0	3
11	Frosinone	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Reggiana	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Catanzaro	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Sampdoria	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Bari	1	0	0	1	-2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juve Stabia	1	1	0	0	+2	3
2	Reggiana	1	1	0	0	+1	3
3	Cittadella	2	1	0	1	+0	3
4	Sampdoria	1	0	1	0	+0	1
5	Spezia	1	0	1	0	+0	1
6	Mantova	1	0	1	0	+0	1
7	Sassuolo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Salernitana	1	0	0	1	-1	0
9	Cesena	1	0	0	1	-1	0
10	Frosinone	1	0	0	1	-1	0
11	Modena	1	0	0	1	-1	0
12	Bari	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	Cremonese	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Carrarese	2	0	0	2	-2	0
15	Palermo	2	0	0	2	-3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.