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Premiership
Referee: M MacDermid
Aberdeen
S S U S S
2–0
Full-time
Kilmarnock
T U T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aberdeen Kilmarnock
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
83%
17%
Points per game
2,7
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
67%
17%
Average goals
3,7
2,5
Scored
2,8
0,5
Conceded
0,8
2,0
Goal diff per game
+2,0
-1,5
This season — Premiership · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 50%
100%
0%
Points per game
3,0
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 50%
100%
0%
Average goals
3,5
3,5
Scored
2,5
0,0
Conceded
1,0
3,5
Goal diff per game
+1,5
-3,5
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

58% Possession 42%
12 Shots 7
3 Shots on target 2
4 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
8 Corners 6
2 Offside 1
14 Free kicks against 12
3 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Aberdeen 3. · Kilmarnock 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 3 3 0 0 +9 9
2 Rangers 3 2 1 0 +7 7
3 Aberdeen 2 2 0 0 +3 6
4 Dundee 3 1 2 0 +2 5
5 Dundee United 3 1 2 0 +2 5
6 ST Johnstone 3 1 0 2 +0 3
7 St Mirren 3 1 0 2 -2 3
8 Ross County 3 0 2 1 -6 2
9 Motherwell 2 0 1 1 -1 1
10 Hearts 2 0 1 1 -2 1
11 Hibernian 3 0 1 2 -5 1
12 Kilmarnock 2 0 0 2 -7 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Aberdeen Kilmarnock
1–0 P. Guèye
G. Shinnie
23′
31′
🔁 B. Anderson
↦ D. Watson
Half-time 1–0
53′
ℹ️ Bradley Lyons
VAR: Card upgrade
54′
🟥 Bradley Lyons
56′
🔁 R. McKenzie
↦ D. Armstrong
2–0 P. Guèye
J. McGrath
65′
Jamie McGrath 🟨
67′
V. Besuijen 🔁
↦ T. Keskinen
71′
75′
🔁 I. Cameron
↦ M. Watkins
75′
🔁 L. Polworth
↦ M. Kennedy
75′
🔁 C. Ndaba
↦ R. Deas
K. Nisbet 🔁
↦ P. Guèye
79′
P. Ambrose 🔁
↦ E. Sokler
79′
A. Palaversa 🔁
↦ S. Heltne Nilsen
88′
S. Morris 🔁
↦ J. McGrath
88′
91′
🔁 O. Bainbridge
↦ S. Findlay
Ante Palaversa 🟨
92′
Slobodan Rubežić 🟨
93′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Aberdeen

4-2-3-1
1 D. Mitov G
2 N. Devlin D
33 S. Rubežić D
21 G. Molloy D
3 J. MacKenzie D
4 G. Shinnie M
6 S. Heltne Nilsen M
81 T. Keskinen M
14 P. Guèye M
7 J. McGrath M
19 E. Sokler F
Bench (9)
17 V. Besuijen
9 K. Nisbet
32 P. Ambrose
18 A. Palaversa
20 S. Morris
27 A. MacDonald
31 R. Doohan
22 J. Milne
15 J. McGarry

Coach: J. Thelin

Kilmarnock

4-1-4-1
1 K. O'Hara G
8 B. Lyons D
5 L. Mayo D
17 S. Findlay D
6 R. Deas D
22 L. Donnelly M
11 D. Armstrong M
2 J. Burroughs M
12 D. Watson M
10 M. Kennedy M
23 M. Watkins F
Bench (9)
19 B. Anderson
7 R. McKenzie
18 I. Cameron
31 L. Polworth
3 C. Ndaba
51 O. Bainbridge
14 G. Mackay-Steven
24 B. Wales
20 R. McCrorie

Coach: D. McInnes

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,74
U
3,71
B
4,66
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,91
U2,5 ✓
1,88
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

M MacDermid · 67 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,1 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.