Super League
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Grasshoppers
Sion
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 1–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | xG +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Zurich
|
4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | +6 | +1.7 | 10 |
| 2 |
Luzern
|
5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | +4 | -0.6 | 10 |
| 3 |
Sion
|
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | +6 | +4.8 | 9 |
| 4 |
St. Gallen
|
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | +5 | -0.8 | 9 |
| 5 |
Lugano
|
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | +3 | +1.0 | 9 |
| 6 |
Servette
|
5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | -4 | -2.0 | 9 |
| 7 |
Basel
|
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | +7 | +3.0 | 6 |
| 8 |
Winterthur
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -6 | -4.1 | 4 |
| 9 |
Lausanne
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -6 | -1.0 | 3 |
| 10 |
Yverdon
|
4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -3 | -0.4 | 2 |
| 11 |
Young Boys
|
5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -7 | -0.5 | 2 |
| 12 |
Grasshoppers
|
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -5 | -1.0 | 1 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
St. Gallen
Grasshoppers
Grasshoppers
Basel
Grasshoppers
Luzern
Lugano
Grasshoppers
Thun
Grasshoppers
D Grundbacher · 12 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,25 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.